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Jiahua Stores Holdings (0602) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$43.6M

JS Jiahua Stores Holdings 0602 · HK
PriceHK$0.0450
Fair ValueHK$0.0370
Upside-17.8%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -17.4% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0292 – HK$0.0448 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0369 to HK$0.0370 (+0.1%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +2.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from HK$0.0292 (bear) to HK$0.0448 (bull), base HK$0.0370. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 46/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.1900 HK$0.0200 Fair Value HK$0.0370 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0200 – HK$0.1900 · fair‑value band HK$0.0292 – HK$0.0448 · the HK$0.0450 price screens above the HK$0.0370 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Jiahua Stores Holdings (0602) currently trades at HK$0.0450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0370, implying the stock looks roughly 17.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Jiahua Stores Holdings generated revenue of HK$403M at a net margin of -17.4%. Revenue grew 31.7% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$519M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0292 (bear case) to HK$0.0448 (bull case); at HK$0.0450, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -18%, 0602 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.4500 HK$0.5800 HK$0.7800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3500 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7400 74
EV/EBITDA HK$0.4300 HK$0.6100 HK$0.7900 54
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.4400 HK$0.5700 HK$0.8000 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3500 HK$0.5100 HK$0.7400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.3900 HK$0.5900 HK$0.8400 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.3800 HK$0.4900 HK$0.6000 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.5300 HK$0.6500 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA HK$0.4300 HK$0.6100 HK$0.7900 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.3000 HK$0.4800 HK$0.6500 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.4500 HK$0.5800 HK$0.7800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.3500 HK$0.5200 HK$0.7400 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.5300) versus Multiples (HK$0.4800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$403M
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.7%
Net margin -17.4%
Return on equity -490%
Free cash flow HK$77.4M FY2025
Operating margin 1.0%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -55.5%
Net debt HK$519M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiahua Stores Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates and manages retail stores and other related businesses. It also operates and manages shopping malls and online sale; and provides financial consultancy and commercial factoring services.

Full company description

Jiahua Stores Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates and manages retail stores and other related businesses. It also operates and manages shopping malls and online sale; and provides financial consultancy and commercial factoring services. Jiahua Stores Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jiahua Stores Holdings reported revenue of HK$403M in FY2025 versus HK$434M in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$70.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 31/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$403M
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.2%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Revenue −1.9%/yr
FY21 HK$434M
FY22 HK$335M
FY23 HK$354M
FY24 HK$379M
FY25 HK$403M
Net income
FY21 −HK$100M
FY22 −HK$104M
FY23 −HK$153M
FY24 −HK$55.7M
FY25 −HK$70.0M

0602 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jiahua Stores Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0602

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -17% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 25
FUTURE 100 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 220.59 MXN +121%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR -56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 -72%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 399,000 KRW 177,841 KRW -55%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 54.64 MXN +82%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 97,300 KRW 76,636 KRW -21%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 44.99 MXN +31%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$11.74 R$33.36 +184%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Jiahua Stores Holdings (0602) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0370 versus a price of HK$0.0450, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0602?
Our model-based fair value for Jiahua Stores Holdings is HK$0.0370 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0450.
What is the quality score of 0602?
Jiahua Stores Holdings has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Jiahua Stores Holdings (0602)?
Jiahua Stores Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$403M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0602?
The net profit margin of Jiahua Stores Holdings is about -17.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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