SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt HK$0.63, price HK$0.25, upside +150.0%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2050 – HK$4.29 · fair‑value band HK$0.5580 – HK$0.6860 · the HK$0.2500 price screens below the HK$0.6250 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SCE Intelligent Commercial Management Holdings Limited provides property management and commercial operational services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through commercial property management and operational services, and residential property management services segments.
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SCE Intelligent Commercial Management Holdings Limited provides property management and commercial operational services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through commercial property management and operational services, and residential property management services segments. The company's portfolio of commercial properties includes shopping malls and office buildings. It also provides property management services comprising cleaning, security, repair and maintenance, tenant assistance, marketing, and promotion services for property developers, property owners, and tenants; and value-added services, including tenant management, parking lot management, rental collection, and advertising space and other common area management services. In addition, the company offers pre-sale management services, pre-sale display units and sales offices, pre-delivery inspection services, and car park sales services for non-property owners. The company was formerly known as China SCE Commercial Holdings Limited and changed its name to SCE Intelligent Commercial Management Holdings Limited in November 2020. SCE Intelligent Commercial Management Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. SCE Intelligent Commercial Management Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Happy Scene Global Limited.
Stock analysis
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606) currently trades at HK$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6250, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$1.25 per share, and 14 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$0.2500 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.8300, and 0 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.5580 (bear) to HK$0.6860 (bull), the price of HK$0.2500 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 57.9M CNY in FY2025, compounding −32.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$484M (≈ $61.7M) · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 0.39 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.8% · Operating margin 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 150%, 0606 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.5580Fair Value HK$0.6250Bull HK$0.6860
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0147 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −34.5% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−17.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 4%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+59.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.3% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+150% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6250 versus a price of HK$0.2500, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0606?
Our model-based fair value for SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is HK$0.6250 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2500.
What is the quality score of 0606?
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6250 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5580, optimistic scenario HK$0.6860. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6250, about +150% upside versus a price of HK$0.2500 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5580, optimistic scenario HK$0.6860. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt would have to grow free cash flow by +59.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0606 use?
Our models discount SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt that is +59.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt grew +8.2 % a year. The price currently implies +59.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (+59.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 26.79 %: that much free cash flow SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt it is HK$0.6250 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2500. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0606 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2500, fair value HK$0.6250, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0606?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.6250). For SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt the two are HK$0.3750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt worth?
The market values SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt at about HK$484M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2500; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.6250 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0606?
Our models span a range for SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt: cautious scenario HK$0.5580, base HK$0.6250, optimistic HK$0.6860 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.2500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0606?
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.6250 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 0.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
Balance-sheet figures for SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0606 from its 52-week high?
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt trades at HK$0.2500, about 31% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3600 and 15% above the low of HK$0.2180 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.6250 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, Vonovia SE, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.2500, calculated fair value HK$0.6250 (+150%), Quality Score 61/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0606 calculated?
We run SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.6250, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.2500. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.6250, about +150% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.5580). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt
How large is the market capitalisation of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The market capitalisation of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is HK$484M (≈ $61.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is 0.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
Earnings per share at SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt are HK$0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The net margin of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is 5.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
The operating margin of SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is 2.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
Revenue at SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt is growing +2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606)?
Earnings per share at SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt are growing −57.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt (0606) hold?
SCE Intelligent Coml Mgmt holds more cash than debt, HK$1.3B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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