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Hongkong Chinese Limited (0655) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$799M

HC Hongkong Chinese Limited 0655 · HK
PriceHK$0.4200
Fair ValueHK$0.1000
Upside-76.2%
Quality56/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.0300 – HK$0.1000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0300 to HK$0.1000). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.6614 HK$0.2080 Fair Value HK$0.1000 Aug 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2080 – HK$0.6614 · fair‑value band HK$0.0300 – HK$0.1000 · the HK$0.4200 price screens above the HK$0.1000 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hongkong Chinese Limited (0655) currently trades at HK$0.4200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1000, implying the stock looks roughly 76.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$53.2M. Revenue declined 57.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.1%. Net debt stands at HK$394M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0300 (bear case) to HK$0.1000 (bull case); at HK$0.4200, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -76%, 0655 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.1500 HK$0.3800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.1900 74
EV/EBIT HK$0.0300 53
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.1200 HK$0.4100 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1400 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.0400 HK$0.2200 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.0900 HK$0.1500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.1300 HK$0.3900 37
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.0300 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$2.18 HK$2.93 HK$4.37 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.1500 HK$0.3800 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.0200 HK$0.1900 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$2.93) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$53.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) -57.3%
Return on equity -10.1%
Free cash flow HK$31.5M FY2026
Operating margin -35.9%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1000
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -64.3%
Net debt HK$394M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 71
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hongkong Chinese Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, healthcare services, and hotel operations in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Republic of Singapore, Indonesia, and internationally.

Full company description

Hongkong Chinese Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property investment and development, healthcare services, and hotel operations in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Republic of Singapore, Indonesia, and internationally. The company operates through Property Investment, Property Development, Treasury Investment, Securities Investment, and Other segments. The Property Investment segment engages in the letting and resale of properties. The Property Development segment develops and sells properties. The Treasury Investment segment invests in money markets. The Securities Investment segment is involved in the investment in securities held for trading. It also engages in the provision of project management services. In addition, the company owns a motor yacht. Hongkong Chinese Limited was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. The company operates as a subsidiary of Lippo Capital Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Hongkong Chinese Limited reported revenue of HK$54.5M in FY2026 versus HK$81.1M in FY2022, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$892M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 15/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
HK$54.5M
Latest YoY
−25.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.7%
Revenue −9.5%/yr
FY22 HK$81.1M
FY23 HK$71.8M
FY24 HK$74.8M
FY25 HK$72.8M
FY26 HK$54.5M
Net income
FY22 HK$670M
FY23 HK$489M
FY24 HK$157M
FY25 −HK$1.2B
FY26 −HK$892M

0655 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Plaza S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hongkong Chinese Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0655

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 528 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -36% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -57% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.92× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 30.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 5.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 34
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 97 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 50 · sector 59

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hongkong Chinese Limited (0655) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1000 versus a price of HK$0.4200, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0655?
Our model-based fair value for Hongkong Chinese Limited is HK$0.1000 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4200.
What is the quality score of 0655?
Hongkong Chinese Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hongkong Chinese Limited (0655)?
Hongkong Chinese Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$53.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0655?
The net profit margin of Hongkong Chinese Limited is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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