China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd HK$0.15, price HK$0.13, upside +11.9%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0390 – HK$0.2110 · fair‑value band HK$0.1100 – HK$0.2000 · the HK$0.1340 price screens below the HK$0.1500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining and processing of mineral ores in China, Hong Kong, Kyrgyzstan, and the Republic of Mongolia. The company explores for copper, gold, silver, iron, and molybdenum deposits.
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China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining and processing of mineral ores in China, Hong Kong, Kyrgyzstan, and the Republic of Mongolia. The company explores for copper, gold, silver, iron, and molybdenum deposits. It is also involved in research and development activities; and selling/trading of metal products. The company is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong. China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Limited operates as a subsidiary of Daye Nonferrous Metals Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661) currently trades at HK$0.1340, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3200 per share, and 9 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$0.1340 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.0600, and 8 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1100 (bear) to HK$0.2000 (bull), the price of HK$0.1340 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd reported revenue of 66.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 35.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +16.6%/yr. Reported net income was 53.5M CNY in FY2025, compounding −34.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$2.4B (≈ $306M) · P/S ratio 0.03 · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 0.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Operating margin 0.6% · Revenue (TTM) 66.1B CNY · Revenue growth (YoY) +46.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 12%, 0661 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1100Fair Value HK$0.1500Bull HK$0.2000
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.3% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−28.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−28.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 0%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.4% a year for the price.
Compare China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Copper · 60 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score47 · Above median
Fair Value upside+11.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.1% · Below median
Return on assets0.9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth46.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity3.03× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Copper median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0661
Frequently asked questions
Is China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1500 versus a price of HK$0.1340, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0661?
Our model-based fair value for China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is HK$0.1500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1340.
What is the quality score of 0661?
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1100, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1500, about +12% upside versus a price of HK$0.1340 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1100, optimistic scenario HK$0.2000. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 66.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +25.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0661 use?
Our models discount China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd at 15.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.80, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd that is +25.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd grew +17.6 % a year. The price currently implies +25.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (+25.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 35.41 %: that much free cash flow China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd it is HK$0.1500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1340. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0661 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1340, fair value HK$0.1500, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0661?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1340); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1500). For China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd the two are HK$0.0160 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd worth?
The market values China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd at about HK$2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1340; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0661?
Our models span a range for China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1100, base HK$0.1500, optimistic HK$0.2000 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1340). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.1%, debt of 3.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0661 from its 52-week high?
China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd trades at HK$0.1340, about 36% below its 52-week high of HK$0.2110 and 61% above the low of HK$0.0830 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Southern Copper Corporation, Freeport-McMoRan Inc, First Quantum Minerals Ltd, Jiangxi Copper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1340, calculated fair value HK$0.1500 (+12%), Quality Score 47/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0661 calculated?
We run China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd through 18 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd currently trades 11 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1340. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1500, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1100 to HK$0.2000) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The market capitalisation of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is HK$2.4B (≈ $306M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The net margin of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is 0.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
The operating margin of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
Revenue at China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is growing +46.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +25.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661)?
Earnings per share at China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd are growing +346% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd (0661) carry?
The net debt of China Daye Non-Ferrous Metals Mining Ltd is 14.5B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 20.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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