Summi (Group) Holdings (0756) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$286M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +21.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.4930). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3150 – HK$3.10 · fair‑value band HK$0.2805 – HK$0.4930 · the HK$0.5950 price screens above the HK$0.3655 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Summi (Group) Holdings (0756) currently trades at HK$0.5950, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3655, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Summi (Group) Holdings generated revenue of HK$84.4M at a net margin of -13.2%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$203M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2805 (bear case) to HK$0.4930 (bull case); at HK$0.5950, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -39%, 0756 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.3900) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Summi (Group) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the production and sale of frozen concentrated orange juice and related products in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company produces and sells freshly squeezed and frozen concentrated orange juice, and other products under the Summi brand.
Full company description
Summi (Group) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the production and sale of frozen concentrated orange juice and related products in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company produces and sells freshly squeezed and frozen concentrated orange juice, and other products under the Summi brand. It also sells food and beverage products. The company sells its products to food and beverages manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, retailers, and restaurants. Summi (Group) Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Summi (Group) Holdings reported revenue of HK$86.6M in FY2025 versus HK$111M in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$24.7M in FY2025.
0756 screens 39% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $86.71 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $138.70 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $45.98 | $35.82 | -22% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$42.54 | HK$30.90 | -27% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €70.86 | -23% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $29.56 | $30.99 | +5% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOFUBL | 180.76 MXN | 159.53 MXN | -12% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €54.20 | €46.77 | -14% |
| Arca Continental, S.A. AC | 198.23 MXN | 242.13 MXN | +22% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹438.45 | ₹187.49 | -57% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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