Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Summi Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.72, price HK$0.62, upside +16.5%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3150 – HK$2.60 · fair‑value band HK$0.5610 – HK$0.9265 · the HK$0.6200 price screens below the HK$0.7225 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Summi (Group) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the production and sale of frozen concentrated orange juice and related products in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company produces and sells freshly squeezed and frozen concentrated orange juice, and other products under the Summi brand.
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Summi (Group) Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, primarily engages in the production and sale of frozen concentrated orange juice and related products in Mainland China and Hong Kong. The company produces and sells freshly squeezed and frozen concentrated orange juice, and other products under the Summi brand. It also sells food and beverage products. The company sells its products to food and beverages manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, retailers, and restaurants. Summi (Group) Holdings Limited was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756) currently trades at HK$0.6200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7225, implying the stock looks roughly 14.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.8300 per share, and 5 of the 8 models we run sit above the HK$0.6200 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.1500, and 3 of the 8 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.5610 (bear) to HK$0.9265 (bull), the price of HK$0.6200 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Summi Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 86.6M CNY in FY2025 versus 111M CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −24.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$286M (≈ $36.5M) · P/S ratio 3.39 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0200 · Dividend yield 1.1% · Net margin −28.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −13.8% · Operating margin −12.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$84.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 17%, 0756 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.5610Fair Value HK$0.7225Bull HK$0.9265
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0200 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −15.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−72.8% (2020) → −22.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.8% a year for the price.
Compare Summi Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+16.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets−6.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−13.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−12.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−6.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF4.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)55· sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 50
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 51
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)22· sector 54
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Summi Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0756
Frequently asked questions
Is Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7225 versus a price of HK$0.6200, about +17% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0756?
Our model-based fair value for Summi Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.7225 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6200.
What is the quality score of 0756?
Summi Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7225 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.5610, optimistic scenario HK$0.9265. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Summi Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7225, about +17% upside versus a price of HK$0.6200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.5610, optimistic scenario HK$0.9265. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
Summi Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$84.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Summi Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Summi Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.08% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Summi Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +24.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.2 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0756 use?
Our models discount Summi Group Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.27, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Summi Group Holdings Ltd that is +24.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Summi Group Holdings Ltd grew +11.2 % a year. The price currently implies +24.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Summi Group Holdings Ltd (+24.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.00 %: that much free cash flow Summi Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Summi Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.7225 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6200. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Summi Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0756 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6200, fair value HK$0.7225, a gap of about +17% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0756?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7225). For Summi Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1025 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Summi Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Summi Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$286M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6200; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7225 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0756?
Our models span a range for Summi Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.5610, base HK$0.7225, optimistic HK$0.9265 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.6200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
Balance-sheet figures for Summi Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0756 from its 52-week high?
Summi Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.6200, about 44% below its 52-week high of HK$1.10 and 85% above the low of HK$0.3350 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7225 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Summi Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Summi Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.6200, calculated fair value HK$0.7225 (+17%), Quality Score 36/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0756 calculated?
We run Summi Group Holdings Ltd through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7225, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Summi Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.6200. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7225, about +17% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Summi Group Holdings Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of Summi Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The market capitalisation of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is HK$286M (≈ $36.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is 3.39 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
Earnings per share at Summi Group Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The dividend yield of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is 1.1% (payout 33.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The net margin of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is −28.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is −13.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
The operating margin of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is −12.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756)?
Revenue at Summi Group Holdings Ltd is growing −6.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Summi Group Holdings Ltd (0756) carry?
The net debt of Summi Group Holdings Ltd is HK$203M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 24.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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