New World Department Store China Limited (0825) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$472M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 19 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.1900 (bear) to HK$0.3200 (bull), base HK$0.2500. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2330 – HK$1.82 · fair‑value band HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3200 · the HK$0.2700 price screens above the HK$0.2500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
New World Department Store China Limited (0825) currently trades at HK$0.2700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2500, implying the stock looks roughly 7.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, New World Department Store China Limited generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue declined 16.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at HK$3.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1900 (bear case) to HK$0.3200 (bull case); at HK$0.2700, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -7%, 0825 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 19 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.39) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
New World Department Store China Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates department stores and shopping malls in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
New World Department Store China Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates department stores and shopping malls in the People's Republic of China. The company operates its department stores, supermarkets, and shopping malls under the New World and Ba Li Chun Tian brand names, as well as concept shops under Love " Original " Life (LOL) brand names. It also offers investment activities; and provision of management and financing services. New World Department Store China Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong. New World Department Store China Limited operates as a subsidiary of New World Development Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
New World Department Store China Limited reported revenue of HK$1.2B in FY2025 versus HK$2.2B in FY2021, a compound −14.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$25.3M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 220.59 MXN | +121% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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