Maoye International Holdings (0848) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$514M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.0518 to HK$0.1530). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0990 – HK$0.3266 · fair‑value band HK$0.0518 – HK$0.1530 · the HK$0.1100 price screens above the HK$0.0954 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Maoye International Holdings (0848) currently trades at HK$0.1100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0954, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Maoye International Holdings generated revenue of HK$4.0B at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.1%. Net debt stands at HK$17.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0518 (bear case) to HK$0.1530 (bull case); at HK$0.1100, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at -13%, 0848 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.62) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.4200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Maoye International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation and management of department stores in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Operation of Department Stores, Property Development, and Others.
Full company description
Maoye International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation and management of department stores in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through three segments: Operation of Department Stores, Property Development, and Others. The Operation of Department Stores segment is involved in the concessionaire sale; direct sale of merchandise; and leasing of commercial properties for the operation of department stores by third parties. The Property Development segment engages in the development and sale of commercial and residential properties, as well as the leasing out of commercial properties. The Others segment is involved in operations of hotels; and provision of ancillary services. It also engages in the operation of supermarket chain stores. In addition, the company offers advertising services and business services. Maoye International Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Maoye International Holdings reported revenue of HK$3.0B in FY2025 versus HK$5.2B in FY2021, a compound −13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$180M in FY2025.
0848 screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 220.59 MXN | +121% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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