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Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings (0875) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$377M

CI Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings 0875 · HK
PriceHK$0.2850
Fair ValueHK$0.0500
Upside-82.5%
Quality23/100
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -11.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 5/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0300 – HK$0.0600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −47.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 82% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0300 to HK$0.0600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$10.16 HK$0.2160 Fair Value HK$0.0500 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2160 – HK$10.16 · fair‑value band HK$0.0300 – HK$0.0600 · the HK$0.2850 price screens above the HK$0.0500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings (0875) currently trades at HK$0.2850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0500, implying the stock looks roughly 82.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings generated revenue of HK$3.5B at a net margin of -11.5%. Revenue grew 211.7% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$480M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0300 (bear case) to HK$0.0600 (bull case); at HK$0.2850, the current price sits above that range. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at -82%, 0875 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0300 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0500 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +212%
Net margin -11.5%
Return on equity -191%
Free cash flow −HK$113M FY2025
Operating margin -3.0%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -87.7%
Net debt HK$480M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 21 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 5
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in growing, processing, and trading of agricultural produce, trading of seafood, and meat produce in the People's Republic of China. The company grows, processes, and sells vegetables.

Full company description

Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in growing, processing, and trading of agricultural produce, trading of seafood, and meat produce in the People's Republic of China. The company grows, processes, and sells vegetables. It provides management services; and engages in the wholesale and retail trade, and online sale business. The company was formerly known as China Finance Investment Holdings Limited and changed its name to Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited in July 2024. Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of Sino Richest Investment Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings reported revenue of HK$3.5B in FY2025 versus HK$523M in FY2021, a compound +61.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$408M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 36/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.5B
Latest YoY
+182.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+52.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+60.8%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+10.6%
Revenue +61.3%/yr
FY21 HK$523M
FY22 HK$999M
FY23 HK$1.4B
FY24 HK$1.3B
FY25 HK$3.5B
Net income
FY21 HK$35.7M
FY22 −HK$41.2M
FY23 HK$47.3M
FY24 −HK$124M
FY25 −HK$408M

0875 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0875

Peer Group

Farm Products · 298 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −84% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 212% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.01× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $82.30 $38.02 -54%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings (0875) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0500 versus a price of HK$0.2850, about −82% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0875?
Our model-based fair value for Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings is HK$0.0500 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.2850.
What is the quality score of 0875?
Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings has a Quality Score of 23/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings (0875)?
Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0875?
The net profit margin of Congyu Intelligent Agricultural Holdings is about -11.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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