Mongolian Mining Corp (0975) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Mongolian Mining Corp stock HK$6.40, price HK$7.18, upside -10.8%, quality 40 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.46 – HK$14.27 · fair‑value band HK$4.10 – HK$8.70 · the HK$7.18 price screens above the HK$6.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 29, 2026.
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Mongolian Mining Corporation engages in mining, processing, transporting, and selling coking coal products in China. The company owns and operates the Ukhaa Khudag and the Baruun Naran open-pit coking coal mines located in South Gobi province of Mongolia.
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It is also involved in airport operation and management, water exploration and supply management, and power supply project management activities; exploration and development of coal mine; and trading of coal and machinery equipment.
The company was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
Stock analysis
Mongolian Mining Corp (0975) currently trades at HK$7.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$6.40, 10.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$3.20 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$7.18 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.7600, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$4.10 (bear) to HK$8.70 (bull), the price of HK$7.18 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Mongolian Mining Corp reported revenue of $823M in FY2025 versus $184M in FY2021, a compound +45.4%/yr. Reported net income was $6.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$7.5B (≈ $956M) Small · P/E ratio 8.1 · P/S ratio 0.06 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 0.7% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.6% · Operating margin 24.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 40 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −49% fair-value upside, at −11%, 0975 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.7600 to HK$16.17). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
BearHK$4.10Fair Value HK$6.40BullHK$8.70
Price HK$7.18 · Upside -10.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.5% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−35.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 10%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Coking Coal · 21 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score40 · Below median
Fair Value upside−10.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.5% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)22.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)24.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)69.1% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Coking Coal median · lower = cheaper
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Is Mongolian Mining Corp (0975) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$6.40 versus a price of HK$7.18, about −11% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0975?
Our model-based fair value for Mongolian Mining Corp is HK$6.40 (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$7.18.
What is the quality score of 0975?
Mongolian Mining Corp has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$6.40 (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$4.10, optimistic scenario HK$8.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mongolian Mining Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$6.40, about −11% upside versus a price of HK$7.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$4.10, optimistic scenario HK$8.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
Mongolian Mining Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Mongolian Mining Corp pay a dividend?
Mongolian Mining Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 2.27% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mongolian Mining Corp it is HK$6.40 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of HK$7.18. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mongolian Mining Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 0975 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$7.18, fair value HK$6.40, a gap of about −11% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0975?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$7.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$6.40). For Mongolian Mining Corp the two are HK$0.7750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mongolian Mining Corp worth?
The market values Mongolian Mining Corp at about HK$7.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is HK$7.18; our models calculate a fair value of HK$6.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0975?
Our models span a range for Mongolian Mining Corp: cautious scenario HK$4.10, base HK$6.40, optimistic HK$8.70 per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price HK$7.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0975?
Mongolian Mining Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.1 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$6.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 6.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mongolian Mining Corp (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 40/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0975 from its 52-week high?
Mongolian Mining Corp trades at HK$7.18, about 50% below its 52-week high of HK$14.27 and 20% above the low of HK$5.98 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$6.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mongolian Mining Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Warrior Met Coal, Inc, PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk,, Shanxi Meijin Energy Co, Coronado Global Resources Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mongolian Mining Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price HK$7.18, calculated fair value HK$6.40 (−11%), Quality Score 40/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0975 calculated?
We run Mongolian Mining Corp through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$6.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Mongolian Mining Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was HK$7.18. Our model-based fair value is HK$6.40, about −11% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mongolian Mining Corp right now?
A fairly wide model range (HK$4.10 to HK$8.70) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Mongolian Mining Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The market capitalisation of Mongolian Mining Corp is HK$7.5B (≈ $956M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mongolian Mining Corp is 0.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The dividend yield of Mongolian Mining Corp is 2.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The net margin of Mongolian Mining Corp is 0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mongolian Mining Corp is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mongolian Mining Corp is 8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
The operating margin of Mongolian Mining Corp is 24.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
Revenue at Mongolian Mining Corp is growing +69.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mongolian Mining Corp (0975)?
Earnings per share at Mongolian Mining Corp are growing −72.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mongolian Mining Corp (0975) generate?
The free cash flow of Mongolian Mining Corp is −$25.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mongolian Mining Corp (0975) carry?
The net debt of Mongolian Mining Corp is $170M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 29, 2026