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CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CVS Health Corp. $75.57, price $86.04, upside -12.2%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Healthcare · GB · Home US

CH Some data Sep 24, 2026

CVS Health Corp.

0HRS · LSE

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value $75.57 · Overvalued (−12.2%)
!Quality 57/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.1% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (7/10)
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 17 out of 100
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$109.74 $41.83 Fair Value $75.57 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $41.83 – $109.74 · fair‑value band $52.54 – $123.29 · the $86.04 price screens above the $75.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

CVS Health Corporation provides health solutions in the United States. The company operates through Health Care Benefits, Health Services, and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segments.

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CVS Health Corporation provides health solutions in the United States. The company operates through Health Care Benefits, Health Services, and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segments. The Health Care Benefits segment offers traditional, voluntary, and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services, including medical, pharmacy, dental and behavioral health plans, medical management capabilities, Medicare Advantage and Medicare Supplement plans, PDPS and Medicaid health care management services. It serves employer groups, individuals, college students, part-time and hourly workers, health plans, health care providers, governmental units, government-sponsored plans, labor groups, and expatriates. The Health Services segment offers pharmacy benefit management solutions, including plan design and administration, formulary management, retail pharmacy network management, specialty and mail order pharmacy, clinical, disease management, medical spend management services, pharmacy and other administrative services. It serves employers, insurance companies, unions, government employee groups, health plans, PDPS, Medicaid managed care plans, CMS, plans offered on public health insurance, and other sponsors of health benefit plans. The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment sells prescription and over-the-counter drugs, consumer health and beauty products, personal care products, and other general merchandise products. This segment also distributes prescription drugs; and provides related pharmacy consulting and other ancillary services to care facilities and other care settings. It operates online retail pharmacy websites, retail specialty pharmacy stores, compounding pharmacies and branches for infusion and enteral nutrition services. The company was formerly known as CVS Caremark Corporation and changed its name to CVS Health Corporation in September 2014. CVS Health Corporation was founded in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, Rhode Island.

Stock analysis

CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) currently trades at $86.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $75.57, 12.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $147.73 per share, and 10 of the 26 models we run sit above the $86.04 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $19.78, and 16 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $52.54 (bear) to $123.29 (bull), the price of $86.04 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

CVS Health Corp. reported revenue of $402B in FY2025 versus $292B in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1.8B in FY2025, compounding −31.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $109B · P/E ratio 0.2 · EPS (TTM) $6.01 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% · Operating margin 4.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at −12%, 0HRS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $52.54 Fair Value $75.57 Bull $123.29
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.53 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $77.02 $170.60 $325.33 76
Residual Income $52.14 $50.45 $50.32 76
EPV $51.39 $67.20 $80.84 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $77.02 $170.60 $325.33 76
Owner Earnings $26.39 $82.29 $174.73 70
5Y Revenue Exit $66.13 $149.48 $261.69 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $100.60 $219.91 $368.96 72
5Y P/E Exit $10.95 $36.74 $64.21 66
10Y Revenue Exit $65.12 $144.17 $263.30 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $90.99 $194.37 $350.32 65
10Y P/E Exit $33.08 $63.83 $103.09 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $11.80 $53.11 $72.81 64
Lynch FV $13.85 $19.78 $25.72 61
PEG = 1.0 $13.85 $19.78 $25.72 57
EPV $51.39 $67.20 $80.84 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $29.28 $58.35 $88.36 67
DDM Multi-Stage $29.28 $50.43 $61.59 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $28.63 $38.18 $47.72 63
P/S Multiple $22.13 $29.50 $36.88 58
P/B Multiple $22.13 $29.50 $36.88 55
EV/EBIT $107.29 $159.30 $211.31 65
EV/EBITDA $127.23 $185.88 $244.54 67
EV/Revenue $62.63 $110.35 $158.08 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $36.91 $49.46 $73.83 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $76.04 $161.46 $297.59 74
Rev-Margin DCF $66.13 $147.73 $252.14 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income $52.14 $50.45 $50.32 76
ROIC Compounder $51.39 $67.20 $90.59 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $23.10 $33.00 $42.90 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.1% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+1.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−23.9% vs −11.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.5% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.4%

0HRS screens overvalued: fair value 12% below the price. Compare with UnitedHealth Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Healthcare Plans” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Health Care · 2455 stocks

Beats the sector median on 7/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Return on assets 2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.77× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Health Care median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.2× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)17 · sector 7
FUTURE (revenue growth)31 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 13
HEALTH (low debt)61 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)62 · sector 33

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Healthcare Plans stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UnitedHealth Group UNH $367.08 $295.49 −20%
Elevance Health, Inc ELV $388.82 $465.08 +20%
The Cigna Group CI $271.83 $495.96 +82%
Humana Inc HUM $379.68 $146.91 −61%
Molina Healthcare, Inc MOH $189.10 $219.06 +16%
Oscar Health, Inc OSCR $29.60 $59.20 +100%
Progyny, Inc PGNY $25.19 $35.44 +41%
Alignment Healthcare, Inc ALHC $8.21 $7.45 −9%
Medi Assist Healthcare Services Limited MEDIASSIST ₹298.50 ₹226.12 −24%
Healthconn Corp 6665 17.10 TWD 13.18 TWD −23%

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CVS Health Corp. · Fair Value
$75.57 −12%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CVS Health Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0HRS

Frequently asked questions

Is CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $75.57 versus a price of $86.04, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0HRS?
Our model-based fair value for CVS Health Corp. is $75.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $86.04.
What is the quality score of 0HRS?
CVS Health Corp. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $75.57 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $52.54, optimistic scenario $123.29. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CVS Health Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $75.57, about −12% upside versus a price of $86.04 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $52.54, optimistic scenario $123.29. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
CVS Health Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $406B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does CVS Health Corp. pay a dividend?
CVS Health Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.09% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CVS Health Corp. would have to grow free cash flow by +12.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0HRS use?
Our models discount CVS Health Corp. at 9.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.60, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CVS Health Corp. that is +12.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CVS Health Corp. grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies +12.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CVS Health Corp. (+12.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.39 %: that much free cash flow CVS Health Corp. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CVS Health Corp. it is $75.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $86.04. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CVS Health Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0HRS trades above its calculated fair value: price $86.04, fair value $75.57, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0HRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($86.04); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($75.57). For CVS Health Corp. the two are $10.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CVS Health Corp. worth?
The market values CVS Health Corp. at about $109B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $86.04; our models calculate a fair value of $75.57 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0HRS?
Our models span a range for CVS Health Corp.: cautious scenario $52.54, base $75.57, optimistic $123.29 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $86.04). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0HRS?
CVS Health Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $75.57 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for CVS Health Corp. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.77 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0HRS from its 52-week high?
CVS Health Corp. trades at $86.04, about 22% below its 52-week high of $109.74 and 23% above the low of $69.87 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $75.57 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CVS Health Corp.?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value UnitedHealth Group, Elevance Health, Inc, The Cigna Group, Humana Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CVS Health Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $86.04, calculated fair value $75.57 (−12%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0HRS calculated?
We run CVS Health Corp. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $75.57, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CVS Health Corp. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $86.04. Our model-based fair value is $75.57, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CVS Health Corp. right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($52.54 to $123.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) come from?
Earnings per share at CVS Health Corp. grew −1.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.7 %, EBIT margin −6.6 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of CVS Health Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The market capitalisation of CVS Health Corp. is $109B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
Earnings per share at CVS Health Corp. are $6.01 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The dividend yield of CVS Health Corp. is 3.1% (payout 44.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The net margin of CVS Health Corp. is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CVS Health Corp. is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CVS Health Corp. is 5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
The operating margin of CVS Health Corp. is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
Revenue at CVS Health Corp. is growing +6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CVS Health Corp. (0HRS)?
Earnings per share at CVS Health Corp. are growing +63.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does CVS Health Corp. (0HRS) carry?
The net debt of CVS Health Corp. is $85.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 10.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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