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Oscar Health, Inc (OSCR) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $8.8B

OH Oscar Health, Inc logo Oscar Health, Inc OSCR · US
Price$27.90
Fair Value$58.20
Upside+108.6%
Quality49/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -0.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Low Range $37.49 – $90.60 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 21 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $57.34 to $58.20 (+1.5%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −9.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 109% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($37.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($37.49 to $90.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$32.18 $2.15 Fair Value $58.20 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.15 – $32.18 · fair‑value band $37.49 – $90.60 · the $27.90 price screens below the $58.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Oscar Health, Inc (OSCR) currently trades at $27.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $58.20, implying the stock looks roughly 108.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Oscar Health, Inc generated revenue of $13.3B at a net margin of -0.3%. Revenue grew 52.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.49 (bear case) to $90.60 (bull case); at $27.90, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 161% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at 109%, OSCR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $68.27 $121.99 $208.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF $60.34 $99.48 $181.49 74
NCAV (Graham) $1.84 $2.46 $3.68 50
All 3 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.84 $2.46 $3.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $68.27 $121.99 $208.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF $60.34 $99.48 $181.49 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($99.48) versus Asset-Based ($2.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +52.6%
Net margin -0.3%
Return on equity -2.6%
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
Operating margin 15.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.5400
EPS growth (YoY) +126%
Net cash $2.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oscar Health, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company in the United States. The company offers health plans to individuals, families, employees, and small group markets.

Full company description

Oscar Health, Inc. operates as a healthcare technology company in the United States. The company offers health plans to individuals, families, employees, and small group markets. It also provides +Oscar platform that power others throughout the healthcare system; Campaign Builder platform, an engagement and recommendation platform for providers and payors; and reinsurance products. In addition, the company offers brokerage services and enrollment platform for brokers and consumers to shop, buy, and enroll in medical and supplemental health products. The company was formerly known as Mulberry Health Inc. and changed its name to Oscar Health, Inc. in January 2021. Oscar Health, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oscar Health, Inc reported revenue of $11.7B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +57.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$443M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.7B
Latest YoY
+27.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+41.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+81.8%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y)
+66.3%
Revenue +57.1%/yr
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $4.1B
FY23 $5.9B
FY24 $9.2B
FY25 $11.7B
Net income
FY21 −$573M
FY22 −$606M
FY23 −$271M
FY24 $25.4M
FY25 −$443M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oscar Health, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OSCR

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Healthcare Plans · 15 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Below median
Fair Value upside +109% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 53% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.44× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Healthcare Plans median · lower = cheaper

P/B 8.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.66× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.3× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 35
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 41
HEALTH 78 · sector 65
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 0

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Healthcare Plans stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UnitedHealth Group UNH $423.38 $292.06 -31%
CVS Health Corporation CVS $104.15 $42.54 -59%
Elevance Health, Inc ELV $372.85 $431.40 +16%
The Cigna Group CI $304.50 $495.42 +63%
Humana Inc HUM $400.00 $127.61 -68%
Centene Corporation CNC $66.61 $111.96 +68%
Molina Healthcare, Inc MOH $233.31 $199.31 -15%
Alignment Healthcare, Inc ALHC $20.60 $2.37 -88%
Progyny, Inc PGNY $31.93 $16.44 -49%
Bradsaúde S.A SAUD3 R$15.35 R$20.75 +35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oscar Health, Inc (OSCR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $58.20 versus a price of $27.90, about +109% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OSCR?
Our model-based fair value for Oscar Health, Inc is $58.20 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $27.90.
What is the quality score of OSCR?
Oscar Health, Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oscar Health, Inc (OSCR)?
Oscar Health, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OSCR?
The net profit margin of Oscar Health, Inc is about -0.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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