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Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Rémy Cointreau SA €9.06, price €41.94, upside -78.4%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · GB · Home France · ISIN FR0000130395

RC Some data Sep 23, 2026

Rémy Cointreau SA

0MGU · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €9.06 · Strongly overvalued (−78.4%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −3.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
·0.4% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Moderate moat 45/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€200.85 €35.19 Fair Value €9.06 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €35.19 – €200.85 · fair‑value band €6.30 – €11.77 · the €41.94 price screens above the €9.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Rémy Cointreau SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, sale, and distribution of liqueurs and spirits. It operates through Rémy Martin, Liqueurs & Spirits, and Partner Brands segments.

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Rémy Cointreau SA, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, sale, and distribution of liqueurs and spirits. It operates through Rémy Martin, Liqueurs & Spirits, and Partner Brands segments. The company offers cognacs, liqueurs, single malt whiskies, gins, rums, brandies, wines, and champagnes primarily under the Cointreau, Metaxa, St-Rémy, Mount Gay, Bruichladdich, The Botanist, Westland, Le Domaine des Hautes Glaces, Belle de Brillet, Telmont, Port Charlotte, Octomore, Rémy Martin, and LOUIS XIII brands. It operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, Asia, Australia, and New Zealand. The company was founded in 1724 and is headquartered in Cognac, France.

Stock analysis

Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU) currently trades at €41.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.06, 78.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €10.70 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the €41.94 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.17, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: €6.30 (bear) to €11.77 (bull), the price of €41.94 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Rémy Cointreau SA reported revenue of €1.0B in FY2021 versus €1.1B in FY2017, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was €144M in FY2021, compounding −6.7%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap €9.6B · P/S ratio 10.3 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 14.2% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7% · Operating margin 13.0% · Revenue (TTM) €935M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 34% fair-value upside, at −78%, 0MGU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €6.30 Fair Value €9.06 Bull €11.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €5.24 €7.66 €12.14 76
EPV €4.07 €4.90 €5.63 74
Growth DCF €5.53 €7.88 €11.89 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €5.24 €7.66 €12.14 76
5Y Revenue Exit €4.08 €6.15 €9.16 69
5Y EBITDA Exit €7.65 €12.34 €18.55 71
5Y P/E Exit €6.68 €10.65 €15.40 67
10Y Revenue Exit €4.36 €5.95 €7.64 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €6.66 €9.78 €13.15 66
10Y P/E Exit €6.06 €8.74 €11.30 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €4.28 €5.23 €5.89 65
EPV €4.07 €4.90 €5.63 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €2.89 €3.17 €3.58 67
DDM Multi-Stage €2.89 €3.63 €4.66 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €9.91 €13.22 €16.52 63
P/S Multiple €5.30 €7.07 €8.84 58
P/B Multiple €8.03 €10.70 €13.38 55
EV/EBIT €12.25 €16.63 €21.02 66
EV/EBITDA €10.86 €14.78 €18.70 67
EV/Revenue €3.73 €5.72 €7.71 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €3.39 €4.54 €6.77 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €5.53 €7.88 €11.89 74
Rev-Margin DCF €4.08 €6.30 €9.04 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €5.92 €6.48 €7.49 73
ROIC Compounder €4.07 €4.90 €5.63 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €7.00 €10.00 €13.00 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−1.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
20.2% (2017) → 23.4% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0MGU screens overvalued: fair value 78% below the price. Compare with Kweichow Moutai Co →

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Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rémy Cointreau SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0MGU

Frequently asked questions

Is Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.06 versus a price of €41.94, about −78% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0MGU?
Our model-based fair value for Rémy Cointreau SA is €9.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €41.94.
What is the quality score of 0MGU?
Rémy Cointreau SA has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €9.06 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €6.30, optimistic scenario €11.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Rémy Cointreau SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €9.06, about −78% upside versus a price of €41.94 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €6.30, optimistic scenario €11.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
Rémy Cointreau SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €935M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Rémy Cointreau SA pay a dividend?
Rémy Cointreau SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.41% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Rémy Cointreau SA it is €9.06 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €41.94. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Rémy Cointreau SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0MGU trades above its calculated fair value: price €41.94, fair value €9.06, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0MGU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€41.94); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€9.06). For Rémy Cointreau SA the two are €32.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Rémy Cointreau SA worth?
The market values Rémy Cointreau SA at about €9.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €41.94; our models calculate a fair value of €9.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0MGU?
Our models span a range for Rémy Cointreau SA: cautious scenario €6.30, base €9.06, optimistic €11.77 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €41.94). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0MGU from its 52-week high?
Rémy Cointreau SA trades at €41.94, about 17% below its 52-week high of €50.43 and 19% above the low of €35.19 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €9.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Rémy Cointreau SA?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Kweichow Moutai Co, Wuliangye Yibin Co, Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co, Pernod Ricard SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Rémy Cointreau SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €41.94, calculated fair value €9.06 (−78%), Quality Score 61/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0MGU calculated?
We run Rémy Cointreau SA through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €9.06, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Rémy Cointreau SA itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €41.94. Our model-based fair value is €9.06, about −78% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Rémy Cointreau SA right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€11.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (€6.30 to €11.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Rémy Cointreau SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The market capitalisation of Rémy Cointreau SA is €9.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Rémy Cointreau SA is 10.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The dividend yield of Rémy Cointreau SA is 0.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The net margin of Rémy Cointreau SA is 14.2% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Rémy Cointreau SA is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Rémy Cointreau SA is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
The operating margin of Rémy Cointreau SA is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
Revenue at Rémy Cointreau SA is growing −1.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −3.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Rémy Cointreau SA (0MGU)?
Earnings per share at Rémy Cointreau SA are growing −47.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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