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Vossloh AG (0N2Z) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Vossloh AG €29.41, price €50.70, upside -42.0%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Discretionary · GB · ISIN DE0007667107

VA Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Vossloh AG

0N2Z · LSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value €29.41 · Strongly overvalued (−42.0%)
✓Quality 60/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −1.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€91.93 €27.41 Fair Value €29.41 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €27.41 – €91.93 · fair‑value band €22.06 – €36.76 · the €50.70 price screens above the €29.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Vossloh AG provides rail infrastructure products and services in Germany and internationally. It operates through three segments: Core Components; Customized Modules; and Lifecycle Solutions.

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Vossloh AG provides rail infrastructure products and services in Germany and internationally. It operates through three segments: Core Components; Customized Modules; and Lifecycle Solutions. The company provides rail fasteners for heavy-haul and high-speed lines, as well as manufacturers concrete and switch ties, and concrete elements for slab tracks and level crossing systems. It also manufactures, installs, and maintains switches and crossings, related control and monitoring systems for light-rail and high-speed applications. The company is involved in rail trading, long-rail unloading at construction sites, welding new rails, reconditioning old rails, on-site welding, rail replacement, rail grinding/milling, rail inspection, and construction site supervision activities, as well as organizes and monitors rail shipments to construction sites; and enables on-site availability of the unloading systems. The company was founded in 1883 and is headquartered in Werdohl, Germany.

Stock analysis

Vossloh AG (0N2Z) currently trades at €50.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €29.41, 42.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of €38.18 per share, and 3 of the 23 models we run sit above the €50.70 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €9.56, and 20 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €22.06 (bear) to €36.76 (bull), the price of €50.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Discretionary sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Vossloh AG reported revenue of €870M in FY2020 versus €823M in FY2016, a compound +1.4%/yr. Reported net income was €17.2M in FY2020, compounding +51.1%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €758M · P/S ratio 0.54 · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 8.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8% · Operating margin 0.1% · Revenue (TTM) €1.4B · Revenue growth (YoY) +25.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Discretionary peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −42%, 0N2Z screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €22.06 Fair Value €29.41 Bull €36.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €29.35 €41.15 €60.95 76
Growth DCF €30.61 €41.80 €59.13 75
EPV €11.89 €14.81 €17.24 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €29.35 €41.15 €60.95 76
5Y Revenue Exit €24.00 €37.16 €56.23 68
5Y EBITDA Exit €37.96 €61.30 €92.20 71
5Y P/E Exit €16.66 €24.47 €33.91 68
10Y Revenue Exit €25.43 €34.76 €44.55 65
10Y EBITDA Exit €33.88 €48.40 €63.82 66
10Y P/E Exit €22.06 €27.60 €32.60 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €7.82 €9.56 €10.76 65
EPV €11.89 €14.81 €17.24 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €9.15 €9.86 €10.92 67
DDM Multi-Stage €9.15 €10.89 €13.13 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple €18.98 €25.31 €31.64 63
P/S Multiple €14.67 €19.56 €24.45 58
P/B Multiple €14.67 €19.56 €24.45 55
EV/EBIT €37.89 €53.69 €69.49 65
EV/EBITDA €53.75 €74.84 €95.93 67
EV/Revenue €22.44 €36.13 €49.83 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €13.33 €17.86 €26.66 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €30.61 €41.80 €59.13 75
Rev-Margin DCF €24.00 €38.18 €55.78 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income €19.20 €19.21 €19.74 73
ROIC Compounder €11.89 €14.81 €17.24 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €13.38 €19.12 €24.85 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.2% (2016) → 6.0% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0N2Z screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Retail · 99 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −57.9% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.0% · Below median
Return on assets 3.1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 25.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.53× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.21× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.9× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX €53.06 €58.37 +10%
Fast Retailing Co 6288 HK$33.92 HK$30.82 −9%
The TJX Companies, Inc TJX $132.31 $84.95 −36%
Ross Stores, Inc ROST $237.09 $118.41 −50%
Burlington Stores, Inc BURL $254.69 $150.49 −41%
Trent Limited TRENT ₹2,669 ₹709.49 −73%
lululemon athletica inc., LULU $95.86 $307.70 +221%
Aritzia Inc ATZ C$117.81 C$129.59 +10%
The Gap, Inc GAP $21.82 $37.58 +72%
Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN $78.77 $93.57 +19%

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Vossloh AG · Fair Value
€29.41 −42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Vossloh AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0N2Z

Frequently asked questions

Is Vossloh AG (0N2Z) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €29.41 versus a price of €50.70, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0N2Z?
Our model-based fair value for Vossloh AG is €29.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €50.70.
What is the quality score of 0N2Z?
Vossloh AG has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €29.41 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €22.06, optimistic scenario €36.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Vossloh AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €29.41, about −42% upside versus a price of €50.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €22.06, optimistic scenario €36.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
Vossloh AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Vossloh AG it is €29.41 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €50.70. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Vossloh AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0N2Z trades above its calculated fair value: price €50.70, fair value €29.41, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0N2Z?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€50.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€29.41). For Vossloh AG the two are €21.29 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Vossloh AG worth?
The market values Vossloh AG at about €758M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €50.70; our models calculate a fair value of €29.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0N2Z?
Our models span a range for Vossloh AG: cautious scenario €22.06, base €29.41, optimistic €36.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €50.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
Balance-sheet figures for Vossloh AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.0%, debt of 0.53 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0N2Z from its 52-week high?
Vossloh AG trades at €50.70, about 42% below its 52-week high of €87.89 and at the low of €50.70 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €29.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Vossloh AG?
From the same area (Consumer Discretionary) we also value Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A, Fast Retailing Co, The TJX Companies, Inc, Ross Stores, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Vossloh AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €50.70, calculated fair value €29.41 (−42%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0N2Z calculated?
We run Vossloh AG through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €29.41, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Vossloh AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €50.70. Our model-based fair value is €29.41, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Vossloh AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€36.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Vossloh AG

How large is the market capitalisation of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
The market capitalisation of Vossloh AG is €758M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Vossloh AG is 0.54 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
The net margin of Vossloh AG is 2.0% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Vossloh AG is 8.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Vossloh AG is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
The operating margin of Vossloh AG is 0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
Revenue at Vossloh AG is growing +25.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Vossloh AG (0N2Z)?
Earnings per share at Vossloh AG are growing +31.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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