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Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Deutsche Wohnen SE €40.18, price €15.47, upside +159.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · GB · Home Germany · ISIN DE000A0HN5C6

DW Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Deutsche Wohnen SE

0OBQ · LSE

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value €40.18 · Strongly undervalued (+159.7%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +22.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 67.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
✓0.3% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

€52.52 €15.45 Fair Value €40.18 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €15.45 – €52.52 · fair‑value band €22.30 – €57.10 · the €15.47 price screens below the €40.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Deutsche Wohnen SE develops and manages residential properties in Germany. It operates through the Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, and Development segment. The Rental segment offers value-enhancing management to residential real estate portfolio. The Value-add segment engages in the core business of rental.

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Deutsche Wohnen SE develops and manages residential properties in Germany. It operates through the Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales, and Development segment. The Rental segment offers value-enhancing management to residential real estate portfolio. The Value-add segment engages in the core business of rental. This segment includes multimedia services and the supply of energy. The Recurring Sales segment includes sales of individual condominiums and single-family homes. The Development segment includes project development to develop build new homes. Deutsche Wohnen SE was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany. Deutsche Wohnen SE operates as a subsidiary of Vonovia SE.

Stock analysis

Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ) currently trades at €15.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €40.18, implying the stock looks roughly 61.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €71.57 per share, and 12 of the 14 models we run sit above the €15.47 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €25.14, and 2 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €22.30 (bear) to €57.10 (bull), the price of €15.47 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Deutsche Wohnen SE reported revenue of €2.7B in FY2020 versus €1.1B in FY2016, a compound +24.8%/yr. Reported net income was €1.5B in FY2020, compounding −1.3%/yr from FY2016.

Key figures

Market cap €8.3B · P/E ratio 0.1 · P/S ratio 0.05 · EPS (TTM) €2.45 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 54.8% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 160%, 0OBQ screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €22.30 Fair Value €40.18 Bull €57.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF n/a n/a €22.98 73
Residual Income €33.37 €38.14 €54.25 73
Growth DCF n/a n/a €21.87 71
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF n/a n/a €22.98 73
5Y Revenue Exit €5.01 €36.26 €102.17 59
5Y EBITDA Exit €45.02 €117.14 €259.11 65
10Y Revenue Exit n/a €45.36 €79.50 61
10Y EBITDA Exit €28.59 €129.54 €315.06 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.7200 €1.44 €2.18 64
DDM Multi-Stage €0.7200 €1.25 €1.52 64
Multiples
P/S Multiple €37.45 €49.94 €62.42 58
P/B Multiple €53.68 €71.57 €89.47 55
EV/EBIT €86.11 €124.62 €163.13 65
EV/EBITDA €65.10 €96.61 €128.11 66
EV/Revenue €8.23 €24.36 €40.50 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €18.76 €25.14 €37.52 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF n/a n/a €21.87 71
Rev-Margin DCF €5.25 €45.60 €121.76 59
Economic Profit
Residual Income €33.37 €38.14 €54.25 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
238.5% (2016) → 91.1% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 520 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.9% · Above median
Return on assets 0.5% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 67.1% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 33.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −39.7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.83× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.1× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 232,000 VND 25,731 VND −89%
CBRE Group CBRE $134.55 $91.06 −32%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$42.92 HK$17.16 −60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$24.32 HK$13.39 −45%
Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX €23.99 €23.94 +0%
Vonovia SE VNA €16.82 €36.55 +117%
Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL $308.07 $540.65 +75%
Wharf Real Estate Investment Company 1997 HK$30.54 HK$27.42 −10%
CoStar Group CSGP $26.95 $6.19 −77%
China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 HK$37.00 HK$56.36 +52%

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Deutsche Wohnen SE · Fair Value
€40.18 +61%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Deutsche Wohnen SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0OBQ

Frequently asked questions

Is Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €40.18 versus a price of €15.47, about +160% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0OBQ?
Our model-based fair value for Deutsche Wohnen SE is €40.18 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €15.47.
What is the quality score of 0OBQ?
Deutsche Wohnen SE has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €40.18 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario €22.30, optimistic scenario €57.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Deutsche Wohnen SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €40.18, about +160% upside versus a price of €15.47 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €22.30, optimistic scenario €57.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Deutsche Wohnen SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Deutsche Wohnen SE pay a dividend?
Deutsche Wohnen SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Deutsche Wohnen SE it is €40.18 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €15.47. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Deutsche Wohnen SE stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 0OBQ trades below its calculated fair value: price €15.47, fair value €40.18, a gap of about +160% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0OBQ?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€15.47); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€40.18). For Deutsche Wohnen SE the two are €24.71 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Deutsche Wohnen SE worth?
The market values Deutsche Wohnen SE at about €8.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €15.47; our models calculate a fair value of €40.18 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0OBQ?
Our models span a range for Deutsche Wohnen SE: cautious scenario €22.30, base €40.18, optimistic €57.10 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €15.47). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0OBQ?
Deutsche Wohnen SE trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €40.18 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Balance-sheet figures for Deutsche Wohnen SE (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.9%, debt of 0.83 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0OBQ from its 52-week high?
Deutsche Wohnen SE trades at €15.47, about 35% below its 52-week high of €23.80 and at the low of €15.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €40.18 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Deutsche Wohnen SE?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Vingroup Joint Stock Company, CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Deutsche Wohnen SE stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €15.47, calculated fair value €40.18 (+160%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0OBQ calculated?
We run Deutsche Wohnen SE through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €40.18, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Deutsche Wohnen SE currently trades 61 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €15.47. Our model-based fair value is €40.18, about +160% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Deutsche Wohnen SE right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€22.30). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€22.30 to €57.10) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Deutsche Wohnen SE

How large is the market capitalisation of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The market capitalisation of Deutsche Wohnen SE is €8.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Deutsche Wohnen SE is 0.05 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Earnings per share at Deutsche Wohnen SE are €2.45 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The dividend yield of Deutsche Wohnen SE is 0.3% (payout 1.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The net margin of Deutsche Wohnen SE is 54.8% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Deutsche Wohnen SE is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Deutsche Wohnen SE is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
The operating margin of Deutsche Wohnen SE is 33.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Revenue at Deutsche Wohnen SE is growing −39.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +22.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Deutsche Wohnen SE (0OBQ)?
Earnings per share at Deutsche Wohnen SE are growing +12.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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