CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CNH Industrial N.V €1.99, price €13.15, upside -84.9%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €4.79 – €14.70 · fair‑value band €1.84 – €2.22 · the €13.15 price screens above the €1.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
CNH Industrial N.V., an equipment company, engages in the develops, manufacture, and sale agricultural and construction equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Agriculture, Construction, and Financial Services.
Show more
CNH Industrial N.V., an equipment company, engages in the develops, manufacture, and sale agricultural and construction equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates through three segments: Agriculture, Construction, and Financial Services. The Agriculture segment develops, manufactures, distributes, and supports agriculture equipment, implements, and precision agriculture solutions, such as tractors, harvesters, hay and forage equipment, seeding and planting equipment, and self-propelled sprayers under Case IH, New Holland, STEYR, and Raven brands. The Construction segment develops, manufactures, distributes, and supports construction equipment comprising excavators, crawler dozers, graders, wheel loaders, backhoe loaders, skid steer loaders, and compact track loaders under the New Holland Construction, Case Construction, and Eurocomach brands. The Financial Services segment provides and administers financing to end-use customers for the purchase of new and used agricultural and construction equipment and components, as well as revolving charge account financing and other financial services under the Banco CNH brand. This segment also offers wholesale financing to CNH dealers and distributors, as well as trade receivables factoring services. CNH Industrial N.V. was founded in 1842 and is headquartered in Basildon, the United Kingdom
Stock analysis
CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU) currently trades at €13.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.99, 84.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €3.25 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the €13.15 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €3.10, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €1.84 (bear) to €2.22 (bull), the price of €13.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
CNH Industrial N.V reported revenue of €26.0B in FY2020 versus €25.3B in FY2016, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was −€750M in FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap €18.0B · P/S ratio 1.00 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin −2.9% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 2.7% · Revenue (TTM) €18.1B.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −85%, 0QGU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.84Fair Value €1.99Bull €2.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.0%
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.5% (2016) → −1.8% (2020)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.99 versus a price of €13.15, about −85% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QGU?
Our model-based fair value for CNH Industrial N.V is €1.99 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €13.15.
What is the quality score of 0QGU?
CNH Industrial N.V has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.99 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.84, optimistic scenario €2.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CNH Industrial N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.99, about −85% upside versus a price of €13.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €1.84, optimistic scenario €2.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
CNH Industrial N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €18.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does CNH Industrial N.V pay a dividend?
CNH Industrial N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CNH Industrial N.V it is €1.99 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of €13.15. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CNH Industrial N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 0QGU trades above its calculated fair value: price €13.15, fair value €1.99, a gap of about −85% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QGU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€13.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.99). For CNH Industrial N.V the two are €11.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CNH Industrial N.V worth?
The market values CNH Industrial N.V at about €18.0B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is €13.15; our models calculate a fair value of €1.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QGU?
Our models span a range for CNH Industrial N.V: cautious scenario €1.84, base €1.99, optimistic €2.22 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price €13.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 0QGU from its 52-week high?
CNH Industrial N.V trades at €13.15, about 7% below its 52-week high of €14.20 and 67% above the low of €7.86 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CNH Industrial N.V?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Caterpillar Inc, Deere & Company, PACCAR Inc, Daimler Truck Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CNH Industrial N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price €13.15, calculated fair value €1.99 (−85%), Quality Score 36/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QGU calculated?
We run CNH Industrial N.V through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CNH Industrial N.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €13.15. Our model-based fair value is €1.99, about −85% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CNH Industrial N.V right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€2.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Key figures of CNH Industrial N.V
How large is the market capitalisation of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The market capitalisation of CNH Industrial N.V is €18.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CNH Industrial N.V is 1.00 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The dividend yield of CNH Industrial N.V is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The net margin of CNH Industrial N.V is −2.9% (fiscal year 2020). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CNH Industrial N.V is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CNH Industrial N.V is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
The operating margin of CNH Industrial N.V is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
Revenue at CNH Industrial N.V is growing −0.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CNH Industrial N.V (0QGU)?
Earnings per share at CNH Industrial N.V are growing −94.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
Free · no account needed
Continue in the live analysis
Fair value and trend for 35,000+ stocks, watchlist, comparison and the diversification check. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
