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Elior Group (0QVP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Elior Group €1.04, price €1.79, upside -42.1%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · GB · ISIN FR0011950732

EG Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Elior Group

0QVP · LSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value €1.04 · Strongly overvalued (−42.1%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −8.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
·2.2% dividend yield · Safety not assessed
!Narrow moat 27/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range €0.2400 to €1.83
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€7.20 €1.53 Fair Value €1.04 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.53 – €7.20 · fair‑value band €0.2400 – €1.83 · the €1.79 price screens above the €1.04 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Elior Group SA provides contract catering and support services in France, Europe, North America, and India. The company offers contract catering services to business and industry, education, healthcare, and event planning sectors under the Elior brand.

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Elior Group SA provides contract catering and support services in France, Europe, North America, and India. The company offers contract catering services to business and industry, education, healthcare, and event planning sectors under the Elior brand. It also provides various services, including cleaning services, facility management, electrical and climate engineering, multi-technology maintenance, hosting and reception services, remote surveillance, energy efficiency, public lighting, green spaces, temporary employment agencies, and subcontracting under the DERICHEBOURG Multiservices and Elior Services brand names. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Stock analysis

Elior Group (0QVP) currently trades at €1.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.04, 42.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of €1.55 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the €1.79 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €0.8700, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: €0.2400 (bear) to €1.83 (bull), the price of €1.79 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Elior Group reported revenue of €3.7B in FY2021 versus €6.4B in FY2017, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€100M in FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap €820M · P/S ratio 0.13 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin −2.7% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 2.6% · Revenue (TTM) €6.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −42%, 0QVP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €0.2400 Fair Value €1.04 Bull €1.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM €0.8500 €0.9200 €1.01 67
DDM Multi-Stage €0.8500 €1.01 €1.22 65
EV/EBITDA €0.2000 €0.8700 €1.54 60
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.8500 €0.9200 €1.01 67
DDM Multi-Stage €0.8500 €1.01 €1.22 65
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €0.2000 €0.8700 €1.54 60
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.16 €1.55 €2.32 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.0% (2017) → −2.4% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

0QVP screens overvalued: fair value 42% below the price. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

Compare Elior Group with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 205 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −36.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7.8% · Above median
Return on assets 2.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −1.1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.86× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.16× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $233.60 $162.81 −30%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $93.96 $35.83 −62%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $32.32 $35.55 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $138.28 $76.78 −44%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.48 $73.34 +3%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $199.75 $175.20 −12%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $40.80 $50.76 +24%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $158.45 $128.55 −19%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $301.81 $233.22 −23%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $37.89 $10.27 −73%

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Elior Group · Fair Value
€1.04 −42%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elior Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0QVP

Frequently asked questions

Is Elior Group (0QVP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.04 versus a price of €1.79, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0QVP?
Our model-based fair value for Elior Group is €1.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.79.
What is the quality score of 0QVP?
Elior Group has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Elior Group (0QVP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.2400, optimistic scenario €1.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Elior Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.04, about −42% upside versus a price of €1.79 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €0.2400, optimistic scenario €1.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Elior Group (0QVP)?
Elior Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Elior Group pay a dividend?
Elior Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.23% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Elior Group (0QVP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Elior Group it is €1.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of €1.79. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Elior Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QVP trades above its calculated fair value: price €1.79, fair value €1.04, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QVP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.79); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.04). For Elior Group the two are €0.7545 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Elior Group worth?
The market values Elior Group at about €820M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is €1.79; our models calculate a fair value of €1.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QVP?
Our models span a range for Elior Group: cautious scenario €0.2400, base €1.04, optimistic €1.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price €1.79). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Elior Group (0QVP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Elior Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 0.86 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QVP from its 52-week high?
Elior Group trades at €1.79, about 40% below its 52-week high of €2.98 and 2% above the low of €1.76 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Elior Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Elior Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price €1.79, calculated fair value €1.04 (−42%), Quality Score 46/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QVP calculated?
We run Elior Group through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Elior Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was €1.79. Our model-based fair value is €1.04, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Elior Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€0.2400 to €1.83). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Elior Group

How large is the market capitalisation of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The market capitalisation of Elior Group is €820M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Elior Group is 0.13 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The dividend yield of Elior Group is 2.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The net margin of Elior Group is −2.7% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Elior Group is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Elior Group (0QVP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Elior Group is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Elior Group (0QVP)?
The operating margin of Elior Group is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Elior Group (0QVP)?
Revenue at Elior Group is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Elior Group (0QVP)?
Earnings per share at Elior Group are growing −52.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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