Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Wynn Resorts Ltd. $108, price $76.62, upside +40.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $48.93 – $133.67 · fair‑value band $95.55 – $117.71 · the $76.62 price screens below the $107.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor.
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Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. The Wynn Palace segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with suites and villas, as well as a health club, spa, salon, and pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; and a performance lake, an immersive entertainment center, Western and Asian art displays, and a gondola ride. Its Wynn Macau segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; luxury hotel towers with health clubs, spas, a salon, and a pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; a performance lake; and a rotunda show featuring Chinese zodiac-inspired ceilings. The Las Vegas Operations segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, villas, swimming pools, private cabanas, full-service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; food and beverage outlets; meeting and convention space; retail space; a golf course; nightclubs; a beach club; and theaters. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates casino space, private and high-limit gaming areas, and a sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, a spa, and a salon; food and beverage outlets; a nightclub; retail space; meeting and convention space; a waterfront park; floral displays; and water shuttle services. Wynn Resorts, Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Stock analysis
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK) currently trades at $76.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $107.55, implying the stock looks roughly 28.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $155.17 per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the $76.62 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $24.44, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $95.55 (bear) to $117.71 (bull), the price of $76.62 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Wynn Resorts Ltd. reported revenue of $7.1B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was $327M in FY2025.
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 40%, 0QYK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $95.55Fair Value $107.55Bull $117.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+27.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.8% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+5.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.22.3% vs 2.8%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−59% → 16%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.5% a year for the price and +1.6% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 67 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside+40.4% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets5.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.1% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)1.10× · Pricier than median
P/FCF11.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA3.7× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)87· sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)46· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 76
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 61
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Is Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $107.55 versus a price of $76.62, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0QYK?
Our model-based fair value for Wynn Resorts Ltd. is $107.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $76.62.
What is the quality score of 0QYK?
Wynn Resorts Ltd. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $107.55 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $95.55, optimistic scenario $117.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wynn Resorts Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $107.55, about +40% upside versus a price of $76.62 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $95.55, optimistic scenario $117.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Wynn Resorts Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Wynn Resorts Ltd. pay a dividend?
Wynn Resorts Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.31% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Wynn Resorts Ltd. would have to grow free cash flow by +1.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +27.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0QYK use?
Our models discount Wynn Resorts Ltd. at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (unknown), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Wynn Resorts Ltd. that is +1.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Wynn Resorts Ltd. grew +27.8 % a year. The price currently implies +1.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Wynn Resorts Ltd. (+1.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.55 %: that much free cash flow Wynn Resorts Ltd. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wynn Resorts Ltd. it is $107.55 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $76.62. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wynn Resorts Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 0QYK trades below its calculated fair value: price $76.62, fair value $107.55, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0QYK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($76.62); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($107.55). For Wynn Resorts Ltd. the two are $30.93 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wynn Resorts Ltd. worth?
The market values Wynn Resorts Ltd. at about $8.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $76.62; our models calculate a fair value of $107.55 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0QYK?
Our models span a range for Wynn Resorts Ltd.: cautious scenario $95.55, base $107.55, optimistic $117.71 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $76.62). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wynn Resorts Ltd. (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0QYK from its 52-week high?
Wynn Resorts Ltd. trades at $76.62, about 43% below its 52-week high of $133.67 and at the low of $76.62 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $107.55 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wynn Resorts Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wynn Resorts Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $76.62, calculated fair value $107.55 (+40%), Quality Score 57/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0QYK calculated?
We run Wynn Resorts Ltd. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $107.55, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Wynn Resorts Ltd. currently trades 29 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $76.62. Our model-based fair value is $107.55, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wynn Resorts Ltd. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($95.55). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Wynn Resorts Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
The market capitalisation of Wynn Resorts Ltd. is $8.0B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Earnings per share at Wynn Resorts Ltd. are $−5.74. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
The dividend yield of Wynn Resorts Ltd. is 1.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
The net margin of Wynn Resorts Ltd. is 4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wynn Resorts Ltd. is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
The operating margin of Wynn Resorts Ltd. is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Revenue at Wynn Resorts Ltd. is growing +9.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK)?
Earnings per share at Wynn Resorts Ltd. are growing +50.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Wynn Resorts Ltd. (0QYK) carry?
The net debt of Wynn Resorts Ltd. is $10.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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