Cybernaut International Holdings Co Ltd (1020) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$1.5B (≈ $185M) · ISIN KYG2606Y1026
What is Cybernaut International Holdings Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 244% above our fair value of HK$0.0800.
As of Aug 29, 2026, the fair value of Cybernaut International Holdings Co Ltd is HK$0.0800 per share against a price of HK$0.2750, so the fair value sits 71% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +28.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0800). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0700 to HK$0.0800), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0570 – HK$0.4950 · fair‑value band HK$0.0700 – HK$0.0800 · the HK$0.2750 price screens above the HK$0.0800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.
Analysis
Cybernaut International Holdings Co Ltd (1020) currently trades at HK$0.2750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 243.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1300 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$0.2750 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$0.0100, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$60.8M. Revenue declined 32.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −75.0%. Net debt stands at HK$82.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0700 (bear case) to HK$0.0800 (bull case); at HK$0.2750, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 400% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −71%, 1020 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.1300) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Ciprun Technology Holdings Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides e-commerce solutions and related support services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates in two segments, Money Lending and Internet Business.
Full company description
Ciprun Technology Holdings Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides e-commerce solutions and related support services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates in two segments, Money Lending and Internet Business. It offers money lending; intellectual property related services; and e-commerce and internet education services. The company was formerly known as Cybernaut International Holdings Company Limited and changed its name to Ciprun Technology Holdings Company Limited in January 2026. Ciprun Technology Holdings Company Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Kowloon, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cybernaut International Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 60.8M CNY in FY2025 versus 126M CNY in FY2021, a compound −16.7%/yr. Reported net income was −95.3M CNY in FY2025.
1020 screens 244% overvalued. Compare with Amazon.com, Inc →
Peer Group
Internet Retail · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Internet Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Internet Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon.com, Inc AMZN | $258.51 | $127.67 | −51% |
| Alibaba Group 89988 | HK$97.45 | HK$48.38 | −50% |
| PDD Holdings PDD | $85.69 | $225.48 | +163% |
| MercadoLibre, Inc MELI | $1,966 | $798.98 | −59% |
| DoorDash, Inc DASH | $222.00 | $38.64 | −83% |
| Sea Limited SE | $118.32 | $52.70 | −55% |
| JD.com, Inc 89618 | ¥95.45 | ¥73.98 | −22% |
| eBay Inc EBAY | $105.62 | $60.13 | −43% |
| Coupang, Inc CPNG | $16.32 | $2.79 | −83% |
| Delivery Hero SE DHER | €36.47 | €12.71 | −65% |
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