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Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd (1023) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$444M (≈ $56.6M) · ISIN KYG8190E1052

What is Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd really worth?

SG Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd 1023 · HK
PriceHK$0.4650
Fair ValueHK$0.6800
Upside+46.2%
Quality53/100

A solid business, trading 32% below our fair value of HK$0.6800.

As of Sep 5, 2026, the fair value of Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.6800 per share against a price of HK$0.4650, so the fair value sits 46% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.1% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·4.30% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.6200 – HK$0.7400

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6200). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.7280 HK$0.1970 Fair Value HK$0.6800 Oct 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1970 – HK$0.7280 · fair‑value band HK$0.6200 – HK$0.7400 · the HK$0.4650 price screens below the HK$0.6800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd (1023) currently trades at HK$0.4650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.6800, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.09 per share, and 13 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.4650 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.5100, and 0 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of −6.1%. Revenue declined 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$420M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6200 (bear case) to HK$0.7400 (bull case); at HK$0.4650, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 46%, 1023 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.8900 HK$1.02 HK$1.24 80
Growth DCF HK$0.9000 HK$1.02 HK$1.22 77
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.9000 HK$1.11 HK$1.37 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$0.8900 HK$1.02 HK$1.24 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7100 HK$0.7600 HK$0.8500 71
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.9000 HK$1.11 HK$1.37 74
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.7800 HK$0.8300 HK$0.8800 66
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$0.8900 HK$1.02 HK$1.16 67
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.5100 HK$0.5100 HK$0.5200 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.6300 HK$0.7000 HK$0.7600 63
EV/EBITDA HK$0.9900 HK$1.17 HK$1.35 64
EV/Revenue HK$0.5800 HK$0.6300 HK$0.6800 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8100 HK$1.09 HK$1.63 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.9000 HK$1.02 HK$1.22 77
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.7100 HK$0.7800 HK$0.8700 71
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.5100 HK$0.5100 HK$0.5200 70

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$1.09) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.5100). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.28 TTM
EPS (TTM) HK$−0.2400
Dividend yield 4.3%
Net margin −11.2% FY2025
Return on equity −6.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 4.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$1.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −0.2% 3y avg −5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −50.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$51.5M FY2025
Net cash HK$420M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 22
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 37
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sitoy Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, sale, wholesale, and retail of handbags, small leather goods, travel goods, and footwear. It operates through three segments: Retail, Manufacturing, and Property Investment. The company also offers travel luggage and business accessories.

Full company description

Sitoy Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, design, manufacture, sale, wholesale, and retail of handbags, small leather goods, travel goods, and footwear. It operates through three segments: Retail, Manufacturing, and Property Investment. The company also offers travel luggage and business accessories. In addition, it provides advertising and marketing services; designs accessories; and invests in office spaces. The company offers its products under the TUSCAN'S, Fashion & Joy, and Duffy brand names. It operates in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, North America, Europe, other Asian countries, and internationally. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$1.6B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$178M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 18/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$1.6B
Latest YoY
−1.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.0%
EBIT margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.2% (2019) → 8.1% (2024)
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 HK$1.4B
FY22 HK$1.8B
FY23 HK$1.8B
FY24 HK$1.6B
FY25 HK$1.6B
Net income
FY21 −HK$150M
FY22 HK$151M
FY23 HK$203M
FY24 HK$102M
FY25 −HK$178M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −11.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −7.2 %

of which total revenue −7.6 % · buybacks/dilution +0.4 %

EBIT margin −3.9 %
Tax rate −0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1023.HK

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +46% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.3% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE95 · sector 6
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 22
HEALTH0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND86 · sector 48

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $38.44 $35.63 −7%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $87.76 $125.16 +43%
On Holding ONON $31.03 $17.79 −43%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.61 ¥13.03 +3%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $33.95 $44.93 +32%
Crocs, Inc CROX $122.23 $203.65 +67%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥34.24 ¥51.36 +50%
PUMA SE PUM €25.63 €10.57 −59%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $47.70 $11.69 −75%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$13.65 HK$31.67 +132%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd (1023) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.6800 versus a price of HK$0.4650, about +46% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1023?
Our model-based fair value for Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.6800 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4650.
What is the quality score of 1023?
Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd (1023)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.6800 (as of Sep 5, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6200, optimistic scenario HK$0.7400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.6800, about +46% upside versus a price of HK$0.4650 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6200, optimistic scenario HK$0.7400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd (1023)?
Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1023?
The net profit margin of Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd is about −6.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Sitoy Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 5, 2026).
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