Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Steven Madden Ltd $22.25, price $43.40, upside -48.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Steven Madden Ltd
SHOO · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.95 – $49.07 · fair‑value band $16.07 – $28.93 · the $43.40 price screens above the $22.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to- Consumer, and Licensing segments.
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Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to- Consumer, and Licensing segments. The company designs, sources, and markets various products, including dress shoes, boots, booties, fashion sneakers, sandals, and casual shoes; and handbags, apparel, small leather goods, belts, soft accessories, fashion scarves, wraps, gifting, and other accessories. It also engages in the sale of footwear, handbags, apparel, and other accessories. In addition, the company is involved in the licensing of the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, and Betsey Johnson trademarks for the sale of select apparel, accessory, home categories, and other non-core products. It sells its products under the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger London, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo, Carvela, Anthony Thomas Melillo (ATM), and Anne Klein brands. The company distributes its products in the wholesale channel through department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, shoe chains, online retailers, national chains, specialty retailers, independent stores, and clubs, as well as through direct-to-consumer channel, which includes company-operated retail stores and e-commerce websites. It markets its products through email, social media, influencer partnerships, print, experiential events, and public relations. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
Stock analysis
Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) currently trades at $43.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.25, implying the stock looks roughly 95.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $22.01 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $43.40 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $4.13, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $16.07 (bear) to $28.93 (bull), the price of $43.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Steven Madden Ltd reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $44.7M in FY2025, compounding −30.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.1B · P/E ratio 40.9 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) $1.06 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 8.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 115% fair-value upside, at −49%, SHOO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
SHOO screens 95% overvalued. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Compare Steven Madden Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $36.10 | $35.63 | −1% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $79.83 | $172.88 | +117% |
| On Holding ONON | $29.39 | $27.10 | −8% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥11.85 | ¥29.63 | +150% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $31.68 | $45.26 | +43% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $124.58 | $268.19 | +115% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥33.65 | ¥51.79 | +54% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €22.75 | €10.57 | −54% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$12.43 | HK$31.67 | +155% |
| Samsonite Group 1910 | HK$12.01 | HK$36.62 | +205% |
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