Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Steven Madden Ltd stock $22.21, price $39.50, that is 43.8% below the price, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Steven Madden Ltd
SHOO · USOur calculation puts a fair price 44% below what the stock costs today.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.85 – $48.82 · fair‑value band $16.04 – $28.93 · the $39.50 price screens above the $22.21 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Company profile
Steven Madden, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward branded and private label footwear, accessories, and apparel in the United States and internationally. It operates through Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to- Consumer, and Licensing segments.
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The company designs, sources, and markets various products, including dress shoes, boots, booties, fashion sneakers, sandals, and casual shoes; and handbags, apparel, small leather goods, belts, soft accessories, fashion scarves, wraps, gifting, and other accessories.
It also engages in the sale of footwear, handbags, apparel, and other accessories. In addition, the company is involved in the licensing of the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger, and Betsey Johnson trademarks for the sale of select apparel, accessory, home categories, and other non-core products.
It sells its products under the Steve Madden, Kurt Geiger London, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, Blondo, Carvela, Anthony Thomas Melillo (ATM), and Anne Klein brands.
The company distributes its products in the wholesale channel through department stores, mass merchants, off-price retailers, shoe chains, online retailers, national chains, specialty retailers, independent stores, and clubs, as well as through direct-to-consumer channel, which includes company-operated retail stores and e-commerce websites.
It markets its products through email, social media, influencer partnerships, print, experiential events, and public relations. The company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Long Island City, New York.
Stock analysis
Steven Madden Ltd (SHOO) currently trades at $39.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $22.21, 44% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $25.09 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $39.50 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $3.02, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $16.04 (bear) to $28.93 (bull), the price of $39.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Steven Madden Ltd reported revenue of $2.5B in FY2025 versus $1.9B in FY2021, a compound +7.8%/yr. Reported net income was $44.7M in FY2025, compounding −30.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.9B Mid · P/E ratio 16.3 · P/S ratio 1.00 · EPS (TTM) $2.43 · Dividend yield 2.1% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 18.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 15.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at −44%, SHOO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, 7 officers or directors sold shares worth $2.3M and none bought.
- SaleMitchell S KlipperDirector3,918 shares at $48.54$190,180Aug 5, 2026
- SaleArian Simone ReedDirector6× since Dec 11, 2025: 9,785 shares, avg. $40.82$399,465Aug 5, 2026
- SaleAmelia VarelaPresident, Director3× since Dec 1, 2025: 40,000 shares, avg. $45.06$1.8MAug 5, 2026
- SalePeter Allan DavisDirector3× since Nov 12, 2025: 4,215 shares, avg. $42.35$178,507Aug 4, 2026
- SaleAl FerraraDirector3,918 shares at $48.26$189,083Aug 4, 2026
- SalePeter MiglioriniDirector2× since Nov 25, 2025: 7,000 shares, avg. $43.95$307,620Jun 15, 2026
- SaleChristina CiglarChief Product Officer5,147 shares at $44.74$230,277Jun 9, 2026
- SaleLisa KeithEVP, Gen. Counsel, Secretary2,400 shares at $42.05$100,920Nov 25, 2025
- SaleZine MazouziChief Financial Officer12,473 shares at $42.21$526,485Nov 25, 2025
Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
SHOO screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with NIKE, Inc →
Earlier news
- Steven Madden (SHOO): buy, sell, or hold post Q2 earnings?
- Steven Madden's Dolce Vita Builds Momentum Across Sales Channels
Compare Steven Madden Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 92 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Net margin by industry
- P/B ratio by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.30 | ¥29.20 | +137% | vs SHOO |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.74 | HK$31.66 | +130% | vs SHOO |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $86.71 | $176.31 | +103% | vs SHOO |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $151.86 | $219.85 | +45% | vs SHOO |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $37.32 | $48.51 | +30% | vs SHOO |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥40.50 | ¥51.22 | +26% | vs SHOO |
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $38.59 | $34.42 | −11% | vs SHOO |
| On Holding ONON | $37.36 | $27.07 | −28% | vs SHOO |
| adidas AG ADS | €174.55 | €126.17 | −28% | vs SHOO |
| PUMA SE PUM | €26.82 | €5.52 | −79% | vs SHOO |
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