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Huali Industrial Group (300979) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 37.4B CNY

HI Huali Industrial Group 300979 · SHE
Price¥34.23
Fair Value¥54.71
Upside+59.8%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.8% net margin
generates free cash flow
6.41% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range ¥29.35 – ¥68.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago

Share price +10.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥29.35 to ¥68.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥97.84 ¥29.75 Fair Value ¥54.71 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥29.75 – ¥97.84 · fair‑value band ¥29.35 – ¥68.65 · the ¥34.23 price screens below the ¥54.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.

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Analysis

Huali Industrial Group (300979) currently trades at ¥34.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥54.71, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huali Industrial Group generated revenue of 23.9B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥29.35 (bear case) to ¥68.65 (bull case); at ¥34.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 60%, 300979 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥17.16 ¥20.73 ¥48.29 76
Growth DCF ¥16.78 ¥26.10 ¥42.19 72
Gordon GGM ¥30.74 ¥63.90 ¥101.38 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥16.92 ¥27.25 ¥45.68 38
Owner Earnings ¥20.22 ¥33.39 ¥56.90 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥21.01 ¥35.25 ¥55.11 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥33.29 ¥61.04 ¥96.92 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥37.60 ¥70.10 ¥108.39 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥18.93 ¥32.11 ¥53.31 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.76 ¥51.21 ¥88.95 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥30.65 ¥57.92 ¥98.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥18.68 ¥92.32 ¥127.30 54
Lynch FV ¥24.87 ¥35.53 ¥46.19 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥24.87 ¥35.53 ¥46.19 46
EPV ¥31.29 ¥35.67 ¥39.50 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥30.74 ¥63.90 ¥101.38 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥30.74 ¥53.89 ¥67.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥45.34 ¥60.45 ¥75.56 63
P/S Multiple ¥19.26 ¥25.69 ¥32.11 58
P/B Multiple ¥35.03 ¥46.71 ¥58.39 55
EV/EBIT ¥53.26 ¥69.35 ¥85.44 53
EV/EBITDA ¥43.54 ¥56.40 ¥69.25 54
EV/Revenue ¥22.97 ¥30.67 ¥38.38 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.96 ¥9.32 ¥13.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥16.78 ¥26.10 ¥42.19 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥21.01 ¥34.68 ¥52.70 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥17.16 ¥20.73 ¥48.29 76
ROIC Compounder ¥34.84 ¥44.54 ¥56.62 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥39.21 ¥56.01 ¥72.82 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥56.01) versus Asset-Based (¥9.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 23.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -19.4%
Net margin 11.8%
Return on equity 16.4%
Free cash flow 1.1B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 13.2
More key figures
Operating margin 11.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.43
Dividend yield 6.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -49.2%
Net cash 5.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 56
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 78
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Huali Industrial Group Company Limited engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of shoe soles, shoe materials, and footwear products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Huali Industrial Group Company Limited engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of shoe soles, shoe materials, and footwear products in China and internationally. The company offers athletic and leisure shoes, and outdoor boots, as well as athletic sandals and slippers for professional sports, such as running, walking, trail running, hiking, basketball, skateboarding, skiing, mass sports, daily commuting, and fashion wear; and footwear technical consulting services. It is also involved in investment in the footwear industry; design, production, and operation of various molds, and knitted and woven shoe uppers; research and development of textile technology. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Zhongshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huali Industrial Group reported revenue of ¥25.0B in FY2025 versus ¥17.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.2B in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
25.0B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+12.1%
Revenue +9.4%/yr
FY21 ¥17.5B
FY22 ¥20.6B
FY23 ¥20.1B
FY24 ¥24.0B
FY25 ¥25.0B
Net income +3.7%/yr
FY21 ¥2.8B
FY22 ¥3.2B
FY23 ¥3.2B
FY24 ¥3.8B
FY25 ¥3.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huali Industrial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/300979

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.4% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.30× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 5.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 4
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 66 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $44.37 $35.63 -20%
adidas AG 1ADS €165.00 €65.71 -60%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $106.49 $125.16 +18%
On Holding ONON $38.20 $17.64 -54%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.11 ¥13.03 +8%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $44.36 $44.14 -0%
Crocs, Inc CROX $138.91 $203.65 +47%
PUMA SE PUM €29.31 €10.57 -64%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $43.26 $11.69 -73%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$14.18 HK$4.04 -72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huali Industrial Group (300979) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥54.71 versus a price of ¥34.23, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 300979?
Our model-based fair value for Huali Industrial Group is ¥54.71 (as of Jul 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥34.23.
What is the quality score of 300979?
Huali Industrial Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huali Industrial Group (300979)?
Huali Industrial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 23.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 9, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 300979?
The net profit margin of Huali Industrial Group is about 11.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huali Industrial Group pay a dividend?
Huali Industrial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 9, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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