Huali Industrial Group (300979) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 37.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 9, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 32 days ago
Share price +10.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (¥29.35 to ¥68.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥29.75 – ¥97.84 · fair‑value band ¥29.35 – ¥68.65 · the ¥34.23 price screens below the ¥54.71 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 9, 2026.
Analysis
Huali Industrial Group (300979) currently trades at ¥34.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥54.71, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Huali Industrial Group generated revenue of 23.9B CNY at a net margin of 11.8%. Revenue declined 19.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 9, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥29.35 (bear case) to ¥68.65 (bull case); at ¥34.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 60%, 300979 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥56.01) versus Asset-Based (¥9.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 9, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Huali Industrial Group Company Limited engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of shoe soles, shoe materials, and footwear products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Huali Industrial Group Company Limited engages in the design, research and development, production, and sale of shoe soles, shoe materials, and footwear products in China and internationally. The company offers athletic and leisure shoes, and outdoor boots, as well as athletic sandals and slippers for professional sports, such as running, walking, trail running, hiking, basketball, skateboarding, skiing, mass sports, daily commuting, and fashion wear; and footwear technical consulting services. It is also involved in investment in the footwear industry; design, production, and operation of various molds, and knitted and woven shoe uppers; research and development of textile technology. The company was founded in 1995 and is based in Zhongshan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Huali Industrial Group reported revenue of ¥25.0B in FY2025 versus ¥17.5B in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.2B in FY2025, compounding +3.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 9, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $44.37 | $35.63 | -20% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €165.00 | €65.71 | -60% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $106.49 | $125.16 | +18% |
| On Holding ONON | $38.20 | $17.64 | -54% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.11 | ¥13.03 | +8% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $44.36 | $44.14 | -0% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $138.91 | $203.65 | +47% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €29.31 | €10.57 | -64% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $43.26 | $11.69 | -73% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$14.18 | HK$4.04 | -72% |
Compare Huali Industrial Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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