Crocs, Inc (CROX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.8B

A solid business, screening 49% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price is below even our cautious bear case ($145.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
• Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
• A fairly wide model range ($145.28 to $263.32) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $47.21 – $180.57 · fair‑value band $145.28 – $263.32 · the $136.62 price screens below the $203.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Crocs, Inc (CROX) currently trades at $136.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $203.65, implying the stock looks roughly 49.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Crocs, Inc generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of -2.6%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.1%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $145.28 (bear case) to $263.32 (bull case); at $136.62, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at 49%, CROX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($302.73) versus Asset-Based ($17.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Crocs, Inc. together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Crocs and HEYDUDE Brands in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Crocs, Inc. together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Crocs and HEYDUDE Brands in the United States and internationally. The company offers various footwear products, including clogs, sandals, loafers, classics, fuzz, platforms, boots, sandals, slides, slippers, sneakers, flip flops, and flats, as well as totes, backpacks, belt bags, socks, bag charms, cases, attachments, cartoon characters products, and touchland and other accessories. It sells its products through wholesalers, retail stores, e-commerce sites, third-party marketplaces, outlet stores, and kiosks/store-in-store locations. Crocs, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Crocs, Inc reported revenue of $4.0B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$81.2M in FY2025.

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Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

• Crocs (CROX) Could Be 37% Undervalued Following Mixed Guidance And Tariff Concerns Yahoo Finance · Jul 31, 2026
• Crocs Inc (CROX) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Strong DTC Growth Amid ... Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2026
• Crocs Issues Downbeat Third-Quarter Earnings Outlook Following Second-Quarter Beat Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2026
• Crocs' Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates on DTC Growth, 2026 View Raised Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2026

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.