Seazen Group Ltd (1030) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$9.8B (≈ $1.2B) · ISIN KYG7956A1094
What is Seazen Group Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 58% below our fair value of HK$3.50.
As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Seazen Group Ltd is HK$3.50 per share against a price of HK$1.47, so the fair value sits 139% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$3.60 to HK$3.50 (−2.8%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price +2.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (39/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.52). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$1.52 to HK$5.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.9200 – HK$8.63 · fair‑value band HK$1.52 – HK$5.48 · the HK$1.47 price screens below the HK$3.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Seazen Group Ltd (1030) currently trades at HK$1.47, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.50, implying the stock looks roughly 58.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$8.09 per share, and 5 of the 7 models we run sit above the HK$1.47 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$3.95, and 2 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Seazen Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$53.1B at a net margin of 0.7%. Revenue declined 43.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at HK$50.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$1.52 (bear case) to HK$5.48 (bull case); at HK$1.47, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at 139%, 1030 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0682 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$8.09) versus Economic Profit (HK$3.95). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Seazen Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, management, and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company primarily develops and sells residential properties and mixed-use complexes, as well as provides commercial property management and other services.
Full company description
Seazen Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the investment, development, management, and sale of properties in the People's Republic of China. The company primarily develops and sells residential properties and mixed-use complexes, as well as provides commercial property management and other services. It also provides asset operation and management, information technology, and children entertainment services. In addition, the company offers business management consulting and pension services. Further, it develops energy technology; and engages in retail business. Seazen Group Limited was formerly known as Future Land Development Holdings Limited and changed its name to Seazen Group Limited in November 2019. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Seazen Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of Wealth Zone Hong Kong Investments Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Seazen Group Ltd reported revenue of 53.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 170B CNY in FY2021, a compound −25.2%/yr. Reported net income was 393M CNY in FY2025, compounding −53.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 566 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 | HK$109.70 | HK$88.93 | −19% |
| China Resources Land Limited 1109 | HK$35.24 | HK$72.16 | +105% |
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 71,700 VND | 109,431 VND | +53% |
| CK Asset Holdings 1113 | HK$47.34 | HK$68.85 | +45% |
| Hongkong Land Holdings H78 | $8.20 | $1.52 | −81% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹667.10 | ₹170.24 | −74% |
| China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 | HK$13.76 | HK$22.92 | +67% |
| Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,244 | ₹583.42 | −53% |
| Sino Land Company 0083 | HK$10.33 | HK$6.99 | −32% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 5,925 IDR | 1,325 IDR | −78% |
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