Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd HK$7.61, price HK$3.31, upside +129.9%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$2.28 – HK$4.63 · fair‑value band HK$5.93 – HK$9.51 · the HK$3.31 price screens below the HK$7.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, invests in, constructs, develops, operates, and manages expressways and bridges in the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as GZI Transport Limited and changed its name to Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited in May 2011.
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Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited, together with its subsidiaries, invests in, constructs, develops, operates, and manages expressways and bridges in the People's Republic of China. The company was formerly known as GZI Transport Limited and changed its name to Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited in May 2011. Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Limited was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052) currently trades at HK$3.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$7.61, implying the stock looks roughly 56.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$29.78 per share, and 20 of the 22 models we run sit above the HK$3.31 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$2.07, and 2 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$5.93 (bear) to HK$9.51 (bull), the price of HK$3.31 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd reported revenue of 4.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was 519M CNY in FY2025, compounding −22.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$6.0B (≈ $770M) · P/E ratio 9.8 · P/S ratio 1.20 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.2200 · Dividend yield 7.6% · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 5.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 130%, 1052 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$5.93Fair Value HK$7.61Bull HK$9.51
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−6.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−14.5% vs −1.6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.41% → 38%
Compare Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 64 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score61 · Above median
Fair Value upside+129.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.7% · Below median
Return on assets2.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)26.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth3.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)7.6% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.01× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)9.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.43× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1052
Frequently asked questions
Is Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$7.61 versus a price of HK$3.31, about +130% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1052?
Our model-based fair value for Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is HK$7.61 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$3.31.
What is the quality score of 1052?
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$7.61 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$5.93, optimistic scenario HK$9.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$7.61, about +130% upside versus a price of HK$3.31 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$5.93, optimistic scenario HK$9.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd pay a dividend?
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd it is HK$7.61 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$3.31. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1052 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$3.31, fair value HK$7.61, a gap of about +130% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1052?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$3.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$7.61). For Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd the two are HK$4.30 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd worth?
The market values Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd at about HK$6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$3.31; our models calculate a fair value of HK$7.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1052?
Our models span a range for Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd: cautious scenario HK$5.93, base HK$7.61, optimistic HK$9.51 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$3.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1052?
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$7.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
What is the PEG ratio of 1052?
The PEG ratio of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 1.29 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Balance-sheet figures for Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 5.7%, debt of 1.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1052 from its 52-week high?
Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd trades at HK$3.31, about 29% below its 52-week high of HK$4.63 and 1% above the low of HK$3.29 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$7.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$3.31, calculated fair value HK$7.61 (+130%), Quality Score 61/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1052 calculated?
We run Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$7.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd currently trades 57 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$3.31. Our model-based fair value is HK$7.61, about +130% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$5.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052) come from?
Earnings per share at Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd grew −0.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.1 %, EBIT margin −3.5 %, tax rate −1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The market capitalisation of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is HK$6.0B (≈ $770M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 1.20 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Earnings per share at Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd are HK$0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The dividend yield of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 7.6% (payout 114%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The net margin of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 12.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
The operating margin of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 26.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Revenue at Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is growing +3.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052)?
Earnings per share at Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd are growing −49.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052) generate?
The free cash flow of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 3.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd (1052) carry?
The net debt of Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure Ltd is 14.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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