Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group (1116) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$421M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −7.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0500 to HK$0.1000) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1270 – HK$0.8500 · fair‑value band HK$0.0500 – HK$0.1000 · the HK$0.2170 price screens above the HK$0.0800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group (1116) currently trades at HK$0.2170, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 63.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group generated revenue of HK$819M at a net margin of -5.8%. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.7%. Net debt stands at HK$111M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0500 (bear case) to HK$0.1000 (bull case); at HK$0.2170, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -63%, 1116 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (HK$0.0600) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells steel pipes, steel sheets, and other steel products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Service.
Full company description
Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells steel pipes, steel sheets, and other steel products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Service. It also offers piped potable water solutions; development and application of energy storage; and conservation of PCM technologies, alongside technology integration for facility farming. The company was formerly known as Mayer Holdings Limited and changed its name to Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited in May 2025. Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group reported revenue of HK$819M in FY2025 versus HK$692M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$47.7M in FY2025.
1116 screens 63% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →
Peer Group
Steel · 380 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,269 | ₹1,140 | -10% |
| Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL | ₹186.20 | ₹145.39 | -22% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 37.25 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 325,000 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -52% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,838 ARS | +16% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,112 | ₹516.27 | -54% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,894 | ₹771.10 | -59% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 39.22 MXN | -53% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,472 ARS | +55% |
| NMDC Limited NMDC | ₹85.00 | ₹112.98 | +33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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