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Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Mayer Holdings Ltd HK$0.05, price HK$0.22, upside -77.5%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Basic Materials · HK · ISIN KYG5906L1005

MH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Mayer Holdings Ltd

1116 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.0500 · Strongly overvalued (−77.5%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.8% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 4/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.8500 HK$0.1270 Fair Value HK$0.0500 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1270 – HK$0.8500 · fair‑value band HK$0.0400 – HK$0.0700 · the HK$0.2220 price screens above the HK$0.0500 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells steel pipes, steel sheets, and other steel products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Service.

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Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells steel pipes, steel sheets, and other steel products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments, Steel and Service. It also offers piped potable water solutions; development and application of energy storage; and conservation of PCM technologies, alongside technology integration for facility farming. The company was formerly known as Mayer Holdings Limited and changed its name to Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited in May 2025. Huiyuan Cowins Technology Group Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Causeway Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116) currently trades at HK$0.2220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0500, 77.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.0400 (bear) to HK$0.0700 (bull), the price of HK$0.2220 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Mayer Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 819M CNY in FY2025 versus 692M CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −47.7M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$479M (≈ $61.1M) · P/S ratio 0.51 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0400 · Net margin −5.8% · Return on equity −26.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −17.4% · Operating margin 0.8% · Revenue (TTM) 819M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −77%, 1116 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.0400 Fair Value HK$0.0500 Bull HK$0.0700
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0500 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1000 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 28/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.9% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.2% (2020) → −5.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1116 screens overvalued: fair value 77% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 404 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −77.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −4.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −5.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 14.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.32× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 22
FUTURE (revenue growth)75 · sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 50

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $236.24 $116.49 −51%
ArcelorMittal S.A MT €59.82 €35.15 −41%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $230.39 $127.93 −44%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,277 ₹1,095 −14%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹187.97 ₹147.10 −22%
Reliance, Inc RS $387.28 $211.55 −45%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.84 ¥8.07 +38%
POSCO Holdings PKX $56.95 $69.30 +22%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.09 ¥0.5300 −75%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,165 ₹516.27 −56%

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Mayer Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.0500 −77%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mayer Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1116

Frequently asked questions

Is Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0500 versus a price of HK$0.2220, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1116?
Our model-based fair value for Mayer Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.2220.
What is the quality score of 1116?
Mayer Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0500 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0400, optimistic scenario HK$0.0700. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mayer Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0500, about −77% upside versus a price of HK$0.2220 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0400, optimistic scenario HK$0.0700. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Mayer Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 819M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mayer Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0500 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.2220. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mayer Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1116 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.2220, fair value HK$0.0500, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1116?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.2220); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0500). For Mayer Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1720 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mayer Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Mayer Holdings Ltd at about HK$479M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.2220; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0500 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1116?
Our models span a range for Mayer Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0400, base HK$0.0500, optimistic HK$0.0700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.2220). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mayer Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −26.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1116 from its 52-week high?
Mayer Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.2220, about 41% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3750 and 14% above the low of HK$0.1950 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0500 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mayer Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mayer Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.2220, calculated fair value HK$0.0500 (−77%), Quality Score 48/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1116 calculated?
We run Mayer Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0500, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Mayer Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.2220. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0500, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mayer Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0700). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Mayer Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
The market capitalisation of Mayer Holdings Ltd is HK$479M (≈ $61.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mayer Holdings Ltd is 0.51 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Earnings per share at Mayer Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
The net margin of Mayer Holdings Ltd is −5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mayer Holdings Ltd is −26.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mayer Holdings Ltd is −17.4% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
The operating margin of Mayer Holdings Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Revenue at Mayer Holdings Ltd is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116)?
Earnings per share at Mayer Holdings Ltd are growing +30.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116) generate?
The free cash flow of Mayer Holdings Ltd is −72.1M CNY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mayer Holdings Ltd (1116) carry?
The net debt of Mayer Holdings Ltd is 111M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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