iDreamSky Technology Holdings (1119) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$612M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price +13.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 61% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1955). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1020 to HK$0.1955) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2550 – HK$7.99 · fair‑value band HK$0.1020 – HK$0.1955 · the HK$0.3300 price screens above the HK$0.1275 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
iDreamSky Technology Holdings (1119) currently trades at HK$0.3300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1275, implying the stock looks roughly 61.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, iDreamSky Technology Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.3B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue declined 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at HK$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1020 (bear case) to HK$0.1955 (bull case); at HK$0.3300, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -61%, 1119 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 20 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.5500) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
iDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates a digital entertainment platform that publishes games through mobile apps and websites in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
iDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates a digital entertainment platform that publishes games through mobile apps and websites in the People's Republic of China. The company offers game publishing service, and publishes licensed games to the game players through various mobile application stores and software websites, as well as through other game publishers. It also provides mobile games development and game cooperation services, including on-going updates of new contents and maintenance services, as well as technical support service; in-game information services; and advertising services. In addition, the company engages in the internet and software technology development and services; financing; culture, sports, and entertainment; and internet information services. iDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
iDreamSky Technology Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$2.6B in FY2021, a compound −15.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$15.9M in FY2025.
1119 screens 61% overvalued. Compare with NetEase, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 155 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$192.50 | HK$262.75 | +36% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $209.70 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $243.00 | $60.20 | -75% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $36.22 | $21.20 | -41% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.29 | ¥14.68 | +3% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 234,500 KRW | 356,218 KRW | +52% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥28.57 | ¥15.50 | -46% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 762.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -25% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.21 | ¥22.29 | +16% |
| Kingnet Network Co 002517 | ¥17.36 | ¥12.86 | -26% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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