Lai Fung Holdings (1125) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$248M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −6.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 163% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.6750 – HK$7.68 · the HK$0.6850 price screens below the HK$1.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Lai Fung Holdings (1125) currently trades at HK$0.6850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 162.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lai Fung Holdings generated revenue of HK$1.6B at a net margin of -40.7%. Revenue grew 43.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.6%. Net debt stands at HK$9.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 163%, 1125 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$24.35) versus DCF Models (HK$1.26). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lai Fung Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the property development and investment businesses. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel and Serviced Apartment Operation, and Theme Park Operation.
Full company description
Lai Fung Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates in the property development and investment businesses. It operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Hotel and Serviced Apartment Operation, and Theme Park Operation. The company develops properties for sale; invests in commercial and office buildings; and provides building management services. It is also involved in operation of hotels and serviced apartments; development and operation of theme parks; and invests in, develops, and operates cultural, leisure, and entertainment and related facilities. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is based in Kowloon, Hong Kong. Lai Fung Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Lai Sun Development Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lai Fung Holdings reported revenue of HK$1.3B in FY2025 versus HK$3.2B in FY2021, a compound −20.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$419M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 593 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹661.75 | ₹146.13 | -78% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,209 | ₹583.43 | -52% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,150 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 595.00 IDR | 1,488 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 73.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +15% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 610.00 IDR | 1,525 IDR | +150% |
| Khang Dien House Trading and Investment Joint Stock Company KDH | 18,150 VND | 20,338 VND | +12% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,300 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +45% |
| PT Puradelta Lestari Tbk DMAS | 147.00 IDR | 164.33 IDR | +12% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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