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Dream International Ltd (1126) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Dream International Ltd HK$20.90, price HK$5.55, upside +276.6%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN HK1126010854

DI Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Dream International Ltd

1126 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value HK$20.90 · Strongly undervalued (+276.6%)

✓Quality 67/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.6 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 11.6% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

✓10.8% dividend yield · Sustainable

✓Ranks above peers (14/15)

!Moderate moat 60/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear HK$14.60 to bull HK$27.73 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 67/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$1.30 – HK$17.69 · fair‑value band HK$14.60 – HK$27.73 · the HK$5.55 price screens below the HK$20.90 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Dream International Limited, an investment holding company, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells plush stuffed toys, plastic figures, tarpaulin, dolls, die casting products, and fabrics. The company operates through Plush Stuffed Toys, Plastic Figures, and Tarpaulin segments. It is involved in the manufacture of dyeing and fabric products, business color boxes, and printing products, as well as engages in market research and support communication. The company also engages in the trading of tarpaulin, plastic figures, and plush stuffed toys. It operates in Hong Kong, North America, Japan, Europe, Chinese Mainland, Vietnam, Korea, Indonesia, Singapore, and internationally. The company was formerly known as C & H Toy of HK Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Dream International Limited in 2001. Dream International Limited was founded in 1984 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Dream International Ltd (1126) currently trades at HK$5.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$20.90, implying the stock looks roughly 73.4% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$18.86 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$5.55 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$4.16, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$14.60 (bear) to HK$27.73 (bull), the price of HK$5.55 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Dream International Ltd reported revenue of HK$6.0B in FY2025 versus HK$4.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$693M in FY2025, compounding +37.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap HK$4.4B (≈ $556M) · P/E ratio 6.3 · P/S ratio 0.73 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.4500 · Dividend yield 10.8% · Net margin 11.6% · Return on equity 17.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 277%, 1126 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$14.60 Fair Value HK$20.90 Bull HK$27.73

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$12.45 HK$18.62 HK$27.78 80

Growth DCF HK$12.35 HK$17.86 HK$25.60 78

Owner Earnings HK$12.59 HK$18.84 HK$28.13 76

All 24 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$12.45 HK$18.62 HK$27.78 80

Owner Earnings HK$12.59 HK$18.84 HK$28.13 76

5Y Revenue Exit HK$10.70 HK$15.89 HK$22.73 72

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$14.10 HK$22.75 HK$33.41 74

5Y P/E Exit HK$15.74 HK$26.07 HK$37.67 70

10Y Revenue Exit HK$11.06 HK$15.89 HK$22.88 67

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$13.31 HK$20.42 HK$30.87 68

10Y P/E Exit HK$14.29 HK$22.61 HK$34.07 63

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$6.96 HK$30.01 HK$41.02 64

Lynch FV HK$7.70 HK$10.99 HK$14.29 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$7.70 HK$10.99 HK$14.29 57

EPV HK$10.68 HK$11.81 HK$12.74 74

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$16.89 HK$22.52 HK$28.15 63

P/S Multiple HK$7.94 HK$10.59 HK$13.24 58

P/B Multiple HK$13.05 HK$17.40 HK$21.75 55

EV/EBIT HK$19.90 HK$25.72 HK$31.54 66

EV/EBITDA HK$16.42 HK$21.08 HK$25.74 67

EV/Revenue HK$9.86 HK$13.04 HK$16.22 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$3.10 HK$4.16 HK$6.21 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$12.35 HK$17.86 HK$25.60 78

Rev-Margin DCF HK$10.70 HK$15.86 HK$22.38 73

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$6.07 HK$7.74 HK$11.50 75

ROIC Compounder HK$11.49 HK$13.77 HK$16.40 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$13.20 HK$18.86 HK$24.52 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 62

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 29

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 57

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 100

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 68

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 68

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 18

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 0

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+9.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−1.5%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+9.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.7% a year

Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+8.5%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+31.3%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+20.5%

Dividend (yield on the price)10.8%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.20.5% vs 16.5%, picking up

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 15%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−23.7%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect

n/a

No analyst forecast available.

After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −25.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 172 stocks

Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 17.0% · Top 25%

Return on assets 9.9% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 11.6% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 12.8% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 7.6% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 10.8% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.3× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 1.04× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 6.7× · Cheaper than median

EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheapest 25%

PEG 1.65× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36

FUTURE (revenue growth)38 · sector 26

PAST (return on equity)68 · sector 25

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 58

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Dream International Ltd · Fair Value
HK$20.90 +73%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1126" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Dream International Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$20.90</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+73%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dream International Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1126

Frequently asked questions

Is Dream International Ltd (1126) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$20.90 versus a price of HK$5.55, about +277% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 1126?

Our model-based fair value for Dream International Ltd is HK$20.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$5.55.

What is the quality score of 1126?

Dream International Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$20.90 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$14.60, optimistic scenario HK$27.73. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Dream International Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$20.90, about +277% upside versus a price of HK$5.55 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$14.60, optimistic scenario HK$27.73. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Dream International Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$6.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Dream International Ltd pay a dividend?

Dream International Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 10.81% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What growth is priced into Dream International Ltd (1126)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dream International Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -23.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1126 use?

Our models discount Dream International Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.42, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dream International Ltd that is -23.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Dream International Ltd (1126) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Dream International Ltd grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies -23.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Dream International Ltd (1126) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dream International Ltd (-23.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.35 %: that much free cash flow Dream International Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dream International Ltd it is HK$20.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$5.55. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Dream International Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 1126 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$5.55, fair value HK$20.90, a gap of about +277% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 1126?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$5.55); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$20.90). For Dream International Ltd the two are HK$15.35 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Dream International Ltd worth?

The market values Dream International Ltd at about HK$4.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$5.55; our models calculate a fair value of HK$20.90 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1126?

Our models span a range for Dream International Ltd: cautious scenario HK$14.60, base HK$20.90, optimistic HK$27.73 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$5.55). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 1126?

Dream International Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$20.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.7, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 2.8.

What is the PEG ratio of 1126?

The PEG ratio of Dream International Ltd is 1.65 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Balance-sheet figures for Dream International Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 17.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 1126 from its 52-week high?

Dream International Ltd trades at HK$5.55, about 52% below its 52-week high of HK$11.67 and at the low of HK$5.55 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$20.90 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Dream International Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Dream International Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$5.55, calculated fair value HK$20.90 (+277%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 1126 calculated?

We run Dream International Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$20.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dream International Ltd currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$5.55. Our model-based fair value is HK$20.90, about +277% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Dream International Ltd right now?

The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$14.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$14.60 to HK$27.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of Dream International Ltd (1126) come from?

Earnings per share at Dream International Ltd grew +16.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.0 %, EBIT margin +4.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Dream International Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The market capitalisation of Dream International Ltd is HK$4.4B (≈ $556M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Dream International Ltd is 0.73 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Earnings per share at Dream International Ltd are HK$0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The dividend yield of Dream International Ltd is 10.8% (payout 133%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The net margin of Dream International Ltd is 11.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Dream International Ltd is 17.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dream International Ltd is 16.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Dream International Ltd (1126)?

The operating margin of Dream International Ltd is 12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Revenue at Dream International Ltd is growing +7.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Dream International Ltd (1126)?

Earnings per share at Dream International Ltd are growing −16.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Dream International Ltd (1126) hold?

Dream International Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$1.5B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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