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Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd HK$0.43, price HK$0.40, upside +7.5%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN BMG5256W1029

KF Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd logo Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd

1170 · HK

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value HK$0.4300 · Fairly valued (+7.5%)
!Quality 43/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −9.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.32 HK$0.3900 Fair Value HK$0.4300 Oct 2018 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3900 – HK$1.32 · fair‑value band HK$0.2800 – HK$0.5400 · the HK$0.4000 price screens below the HK$0.4300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells footwear products in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Manufactures and Sale of Footwear Products; and Property Investment segments.

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Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells footwear products in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through Manufactures and Sale of Footwear Products; and Property Investment segments. The company's products include athletic footwear; lifestyle shoes, such as casual and sports shoes; rugged footwear, including mountain climbing, waterproof, steel-toed, and hand-stitched shoes, as well as boots; and children's shoes, such as boy's and girl's, and infant shoes. It also engages in the business of property holding; and trading of footwear products. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170) currently trades at HK$0.4000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4300, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 7.0%).

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.2800 (bear) to HK$0.5400 (bull), the price of HK$0.4000 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$626M in FY2025 versus HK$805M in FY2021, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$33.9M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$269M (≈ $34.2M) · P/S ratio 0.43 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −5.4% · Return on equity −2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.0% · Operating margin −9.7% · Revenue (TTM) HK$647M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 49% fair-value upside, at 8%, 1170 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.2800 Fair Value HK$0.4300 Bull HK$0.5400
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8000 HK$1.08 HK$1.61 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8000 HK$1.08 HK$1.61 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 12
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−6.7% (2020) → −15.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Footwear & Accessories · 91 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside +7.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −4.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −4.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −9.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.01× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)43 · sector 43
FUTURE (revenue growth)33 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $35.75 $34.38 −4%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $78.36 $176.31 +125%
On Holding ONON $29.96 $26.80 −11%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥10.84 ¥27.10 +150%
Crocs, Inc CROX $122.63 $281.25 +129%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥34.18 ¥50.95 +49%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $33.60 $50.10 +49%
PUMA SE PUM €22.36 €10.58 −53%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $44.90 $12.34 −73%
Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 HK$12.60 HK$31.67 +151%

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Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.4300 +7%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1170

Frequently asked questions

Is Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.4300 versus a price of HK$0.4000, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1170?
Our model-based fair value for Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is HK$0.4300 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4000.
What is the quality score of 1170?
Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.4300 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.2800, optimistic scenario HK$0.5400. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.4300, about +8% upside versus a price of HK$0.4000 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$0.2800, optimistic scenario HK$0.5400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$647M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.4300 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4000. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1170 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4000, fair value HK$0.4300, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1170?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.4300). For Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd at about HK$269M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4000; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.4300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1170?
Our models span a range for Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.2800, base HK$0.4300, optimistic HK$0.5400 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 1170?
The PEG ratio of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is 1.01 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −2.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1170 from its 52-week high?
Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.4000, about 25% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5300 and 3% above the low of HK$0.3900 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.4300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value NIKE, Inc, Deckers Outdoor Corporation, On Holding, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4000, calculated fair value HK$0.4300 (+8%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1170 calculated?
We run Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.4300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd currently trades 7 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4000. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.4300, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2800 to HK$0.5400) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
The market capitalisation of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is HK$269M (≈ $34.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is 0.43 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Earnings per share at Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
The net margin of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is −5.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is −2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is −4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
The operating margin of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is −9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Revenue at Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is growing +6.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170)?
Earnings per share at Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd are growing −24.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170) generate?
The free cash flow of Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd is −HK$8.5M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd (1170) hold?
Kingmaker Footwear Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$348M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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