1199 (1199) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$18.0B

1 1199 1199 · HK

PriceHK$4.48

Fair ValueHK$1.22

Upside-72.8%

Quality48/100

Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.9000 – HK$1.39

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$4.48 – HK$6.36 · fair‑value band HK$0.9000 – HK$1.39 · the HK$4.48 price screens above the HK$1.22 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

1199 (1199) currently trades at HK$4.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.22 — implying the stock looks roughly 72.8% overvalued today. We read business quality at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1199 generated revenue of HK$1.7B at a net margin of 18.4%. Revenue grew 10.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.2%. Net debt stands at HK$2.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$1.7B

Revenue growth (YoY) +10.3%

Net margin 18.4%

Return on equity 5.2%

Free cash flow HK$413M FY2025

P/E ratio 7.0

More key figures

Operating margin 14.9%

EPS (TTM) HK$0.4593

EPS growth (YoY) -3.1%

Net debt HK$2.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1199 reported revenue of HK$1.7B in FY2025 versus HK$1.2B in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was HK$313M in FY2025, compounding −3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +8.5%/yr

FY21 HK$1.2B

FY22 HK$1.4B

FY23 HK$1.5B

FY24 HK$1.5B

FY25 HK$1.7B

Net income −3.1%/yr

FY21 HK$355M

FY22 HK$307M

FY23 HK$325M

FY24 HK$309M

FY25 HK$313M

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Similar stocks

6 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS	₹1,827	₹1,051	-42%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S, AMKBY	$12.19	$17.60	+44%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919	¥14.15	¥51.63	+265%
International Container Terminal Services, Inc ICTEF	$16.24	$10.63	-35%
Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft, HLAGF	$133.97	$94.83	-29%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018	¥4.90	¥6.57	+34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 1199 (1199) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.22 versus a price of HK$4.48 — about −73% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 1199?

Our model-based fair value for 1199 is HK$1.22 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$4.48.

What is the quality score of 1199?

1199 has a Quality Score of 48/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 1199 (1199)?

1199 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 1199?

The net profit margin of 1199 is about 18.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.