Astra Industrial Group (1212) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Astra Industrial Group SAR 166, price SAR 125, upside +32.8%, quality 70 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 30.66 SAR – 192.83 SAR · fair‑value band 99.89 SAR – 218.80 SAR · the 125.00 SAR price screens below the 165.94 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Astra Industrial Group Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the pharmaceuticals, specialty chemicals, power, and steel business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
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Astra Industrial Group Company, through its subsidiaries, engages in the pharmaceuticals, specialty chemicals, power, and steel business in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes branded generic and under-licensed pharmaceuticals products in various therapeutic areas, including CNS, cardiovascular, anti-infective, respiratory, and muscular skeletal system; and produces masterbatches, dust-free additives, and custom-made thermoplastic compounds, and liquid and paste colorants for polymer manufacturing and polymer converting, and plastic processing industries. The company also manufactures, imports, and distributes a range of agrochemicals, fertilizers, public health and veterinary pesticides, seeds, and other agricultural inputs; and produces pre-engineered steel buildings and steel structures, as well as steel billets and rebars. In addition, it builds, operates, manages, and invests in industrial plants. Further, the company is involved in the metal based construction of buildings and building frames. Astra Industrial Group Company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Astra Industrial Group (1212) currently trades at 125.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 165.94 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 24.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 159.92 SAR per share, and 7 of the 13 models we run sit above the 125.00 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 24.81 SAR, and 6 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 99.89 SAR (bear) to 218.80 SAR (bull), the price of 125.00 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Astra Industrial Group reported revenue of 3.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 2.3B SAR in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was 667M SAR in FY2025, compounding +34.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 10.0B SAR (≈ $2.7B) · P/E ratio 14.6 · P/S ratio 3.16 · EPS (TTM) 8.58 SAR · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 21.7% · Return on equity 23.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 13.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 33%, 1212 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 99.89 SARFair Value 165.94 SARBull 218.80 SAR
Price 125.00 SAR · Upside +32.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.86 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.87/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.7% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+29.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+26.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.42.0% vs 27.7%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 23%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 355 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+32.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)23.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)22.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)25.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8.5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Astra Industrial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1212
Frequently asked questions
Is Astra Industrial Group (1212) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 165.94 SAR versus a price of 125.00 SAR, about +33% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1212?
Our model-based fair value for Astra Industrial Group is 165.94 SAR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 125.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1212?
Astra Industrial Group has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 165.94 SAR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 99.89 SAR, optimistic scenario 218.80 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Astra Industrial Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 165.94 SAR, about +33% upside versus a price of 125.00 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 99.89 SAR, optimistic scenario 218.80 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Astra Industrial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Astra Industrial Group pay a dividend?
Astra Industrial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Astra Industrial Group would have to grow free cash flow by +3.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.4 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1212 use?
Our models discount Astra Industrial Group at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.02, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Astra Industrial Group that is +3.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Astra Industrial Group (1212) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Astra Industrial Group grew +8.4 % a year. The price currently implies +3.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Astra Industrial Group (1212) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Astra Industrial Group (+3.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.40 %: that much free cash flow Astra Industrial Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Astra Industrial Group it is 165.94 SAR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 125.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Astra Industrial Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 1212 trades below its calculated fair value: price 125.00 SAR, fair value 165.94 SAR, a gap of about +33% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1212?
No. The price is what the market pays today (125.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (165.94 SAR). For Astra Industrial Group the two are 40.94 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Astra Industrial Group worth?
The market values Astra Industrial Group at about 10.0B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 125.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 165.94 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1212?
Our models span a range for Astra Industrial Group: cautious scenario 99.89 SAR, base 165.94 SAR, optimistic 218.80 SAR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 125.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1212?
Astra Industrial Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 165.94 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 3.2, EV/EBITDA 13.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Balance-sheet figures for Astra Industrial Group (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 23.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1212 from its 52-week high?
Astra Industrial Group trades at 125.00 SAR, about 17% below its 52-week high of 151.21 SAR and 3% above the low of 121.40 SAR (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 165.94 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Astra Industrial Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Astra Industrial Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 125.00 SAR, calculated fair value 165.94 SAR (+33%), Quality Score 70/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1212 calculated?
We run Astra Industrial Group through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 165.94 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Astra Industrial Group currently trades 25 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 125.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 165.94 SAR, about +33% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Astra Industrial Group right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. A fairly wide model range (99.89 SAR to 218.80 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Astra Industrial Group (1212) come from?
Earnings per share at Astra Industrial Group grew +27.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.5 %, EBIT margin +30.3 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Astra Industrial Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The market capitalisation of Astra Industrial Group is 10.0B SAR (≈ $2.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Astra Industrial Group is 3.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Earnings per share at Astra Industrial Group are 8.58 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The dividend yield of Astra Industrial Group is 2.8% (payout 40.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The net margin of Astra Industrial Group is 21.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Astra Industrial Group is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Astra Industrial Group is 13.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
The operating margin of Astra Industrial Group is 25.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Revenue at Astra Industrial Group is growing +8.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Astra Industrial Group (1212)?
Earnings per share at Astra Industrial Group are growing +9.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Astra Industrial Group (1212) carry?
The net debt of Astra Industrial Group is 178M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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