Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd HK$0.25, price HK$0.17, upside +45.4%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1600 – HK$7.27 · fair‑value band HK$0.1246 – HK$0.3862 · the HK$0.1730 price screens below the HK$0.2515 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Powerlong Real Estate Holdings in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Powerlong Real Estate Holdings is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, develops, operates, and manages commercial real estate projects in the People's Republic of China.
Show more
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, invests in, develops, operates, and manages commercial real estate projects in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through four segments: Property Development, Property Investment, Commercial Operation and Residential Property Management, and Other Property Development Related Businesses. It develops commercial and residential properties; and owns and operates property development projects developed by group and third parties. The company is also involved in property investments mainly shopping malls, as well as hotel operations. Further, the company offers commercial operational services, including market positioning and business tenant sourcing services, commercial operation and management services and other value-added services; residential property management services such as pre-sale management service, property management service and community value-added services. In addition, it owns and manages international branded hotels and self-owned branded chain hotels. The company was founded in 1990 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238) currently trades at HK$0.1730, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2515, implying the stock looks roughly 31.2% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1246 (bear) to HK$0.3862 (bull), the price of HK$0.1730 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 22.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 39.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −13.2%/yr. Reported net income was −5.9B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$716M (≈ $91.3M) · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.6400 · Net margin −26.0% · Return on equity −15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.5% · Operating margin −13.8% · Revenue (TTM) 22.6B CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 45%, 1238 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1246Fair Value HK$0.2515Bull HK$0.3862
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−12.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.8%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
27.3% (2019) → −20.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 574 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1238
Frequently asked questions
Is Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2515 versus a price of HK$0.1730, about +45% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1238?
Our model-based fair value for Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2515 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.1730.
What is the quality score of 1238?
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2515 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1246, optimistic scenario HK$0.3862. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2515, about +45% upside versus a price of HK$0.1730 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1246, optimistic scenario HK$0.3862. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2515 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.1730. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1238 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.1730, fair value HK$0.2515, a gap of about +45% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1238?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.1730); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2515). For Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0785 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd at about HK$716M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.1730; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2515 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1238?
Our models span a range for Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1246, base HK$0.2515, optimistic HK$0.3862 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.1730). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Balance-sheet figures for Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −15.3%, debt of 0.78 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1238 from its 52-week high?
Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.1730, about 45% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3150 and 8% above the low of HK$0.1600 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2515 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.1730, calculated fair value HK$0.2515 (+45%), Quality Score 42/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1238 calculated?
We run Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2515, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd currently trades 31 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.1730. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2515, about +45% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1246 to HK$0.3862). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
The market capitalisation of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is HK$716M (≈ $91.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Earnings per share at Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.6400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
The net margin of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is −26.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is −15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is 0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
The operating margin of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is −13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Revenue at Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is growing −7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238)?
Earnings per share at Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd are growing −86.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238) generate?
The free cash flow of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is 2.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd (1238) carry?
The net debt of Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd is 48.6B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 16.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Powerlong Real Estate Holdings Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
