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East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry SAR 240, price SAR 203, upside +17.9%, quality 84 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · SA · ISIN SA15GH80KKH0

EP Broad data Sep 24, 2026

East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry

1321 · SR

Undervalued, solidFair Value upside is positive and quality is strong.

✓Fair value 239.52 SAR · Undervalued (+18%)
✓Quality 84/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +19.7 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 24.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (11/14)
✓Wide moat 76/100
!The models disagree: range 141.11 SAR to 432.75 SAR
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

227.00 SAR 33.71 SAR Fair Value 239.52 SAR Feb 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

55‑month range 33.71 SAR – 227.00 SAR · fair‑value band 141.11 SAR – 432.75 SAR · the 203.20 SAR price screens below the 239.52 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry provides coating services on pipes provided by the customers.

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East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry provides coating services on pipes provided by the customers. The company provides steel pipes for water, oil, and gas applications; double jointing solutions; coated pipes for various applications, including environmental conditions; and ancillary services comprising laboratory and technical support services, as well as yard management systems. It is also involved in processing and polishing of metals. East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry was formerly known as Welspun Middle East Pipes LLC and changed its name to East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry in January 2021. East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry was founded in 2010 and is based in Dammam, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321) currently trades at 203.20 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 239.52 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 539.17 SAR per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the 203.20 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 33.26 SAR, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: 141.11 SAR (bear) to 432.75 SAR (bull), the price of 203.20 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry reported revenue of 2.3B SAR in FY2026 versus 597M SAR in FY2022, a compound +40.0%/yr. Reported net income was 573M SAR in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 6.4B SAR (≈ $1.7B) · P/E ratio 11.2 · P/S ratio 2.79 · EPS (TTM) 18.19 SAR · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 24.9% · Return on equity 43.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 18.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 18%, 1321 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 141.11 SAR Fair Value 239.52 SAR Bull 432.75 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (8.88 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 427.62 SAR 614.29 SAR 1,172 SAR 77
Growth DCF 401.95 SAR 652.83 SAR 1,114 SAR 76
5Y EBITDA Exit 257.02 SAR 387.33 SAR 640.50 SAR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 427.62 SAR 614.29 SAR 1,172 SAR 77
Owner Earnings 250.11 SAR 495.19 SAR 949.94 SAR 72
5Y Revenue Exit 208.52 SAR 289.27 SAR 453.38 SAR 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 257.02 SAR 387.33 SAR 640.50 SAR 74
5Y P/E Exit 311.95 SAR 609.06 SAR 1,003 SAR 68
10Y Revenue Exit 280.42 SAR 459.79 SAR 536.83 SAR 68
10Y EBITDA Exit 315.65 SAR 554.84 SAR 937.84 SAR 66
10Y P/E Exit 352.28 SAR 662.50 SAR 1,152 SAR 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 123.75 SAR 863.03 SAR 1,211 SAR 63
Lynch FV 317.46 SAR 453.51 SAR 589.57 SAR 61
PEG = 1.0 317.46 SAR 453.51 SAR 589.57 SAR 57
EPV 162.16 SAR 181.33 SAR 197.30 SAR 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 232.03 SAR 309.38 SAR 386.72 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 82.06 SAR 109.42 SAR 136.77 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 111.70 SAR 148.94 SAR 186.17 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 226.58 SAR 294.90 SAR 363.22 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 174.00 SAR 224.80 SAR 275.59 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 98.21 SAR 131.03 SAR 163.86 SAR 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 24.82 SAR 33.26 SAR 49.65 SAR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 401.95 SAR 652.83 SAR 1,114 SAR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 208.52 SAR 328.47 SAR 548.36 SAR 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 114.13 SAR 164.13 SAR 1,373 SAR 64
ROIC Compounder 183.91 SAR 231.24 SAR 287.61 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 377.42 SAR 539.17 SAR 700.92 SAR 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 84/100

Of which business quality 85 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 78

Profitability 90
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.7%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.6%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+47.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+44.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 27%
2026 sits 114% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.2% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 411 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 84 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Return on assets 22% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 35% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.72× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.6× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)57 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 15
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)49 · sector 51

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nucor Corporation NUE $246.98 $116.05 −53%
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD $234.29 $127.14 −46%
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,298 ₹1,103 −15%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹190.82 ₹147.13 −23%
Reliance, Inc RS $384.63 $211.57 −45%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.73 ¥8.07 +41%
POSCO Holdings PKX $59.05 $68.58 +16%
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010 ¥2.12 ¥0.5500 −74%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,175 ₹516.27 −56%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,891 ₹771.10 −59%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1321

Frequently asked questions

Is East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 239.52 SAR versus a price of 203.20 SAR, about +18% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1321?
Our model-based fair value for East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 239.52 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 203.20 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1321?
East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry has a Quality Score of 84/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 239.52 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 141.11 SAR, optimistic scenario 432.75 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 239.52 SAR, about +18% upside versus a price of 203.20 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 141.11 SAR, optimistic scenario 432.75 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry pay a dividend?
East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.46% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry would have to grow free cash flow by -8.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1321 use?
Our models discount East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry that is -8.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry grew +19.7 % a year. The price currently implies -8.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (-8.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.54 %: that much free cash flow East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry it is 239.52 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 203.20 SAR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1321 trades below its calculated fair value: price 203.20 SAR, fair value 239.52 SAR, a gap of about +18% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1321?
No. The price is what the market pays today (203.20 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (239.52 SAR). For East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry the two are 36.32 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry worth?
The market values East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry at about 6.4B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 203.20 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 239.52 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1321?
Our models span a range for East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry: cautious scenario 141.11 SAR, base 239.52 SAR, optimistic 432.75 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 203.20 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1321?
East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 239.52 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 1.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
Balance-sheet figures for East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 43.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 84/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1321 from its 52-week high?
East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry trades at 203.20 SAR, about 10% below its 52-week high of 227.00 SAR and 77% above the low of 114.69 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 239.52 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, Tata Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 203.20 SAR, calculated fair value 239.52 SAR (+18%), Quality Score 84/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1321 calculated?
We run East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 239.52 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 203.20 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 239.52 SAR, about +18% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry right now?
The model range is unusually wide (141.11 SAR to 432.75 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Key figures of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry

How large is the market capitalisation of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The market capitalisation of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 6.4B SAR (≈ $1.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The price-to-sales ratio of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 2.79 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
Earnings per share at East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry are 18.19 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The dividend yield of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 2.5% (payout 27.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The net margin of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 24.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The return on equity (ROE) of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 43.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 18.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
The operating margin of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 24.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
Revenue at East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is growing +35.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +16.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321)?
Earnings per share at East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry are growing +36.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry (1321) carry?
The net debt of East Pipes Integrated Company for Industry is 114M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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