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China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd HK$0.18, price HK$1.33, upside -86.4%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN BMG216341039

CL Thin data Sep 27, 2026

China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd

1371 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.1814 · Strongly overvalued (−86.4%)
!Quality 45/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −11.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -51.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/6)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$27.60 HK$0.9000 Fair Value HK$0.1814 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.9000 – HK$27.60 · fair‑value band HK$0.1603 – HK$0.2029 · the HK$1.33 price screens above the HK$0.1814 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

China Ecotourism Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides technology and operation services for lottery systems, terminal equipment, and game products in the lottery market primarily in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Lottery Systems, Terminal Equipment and Related products; Natural and Health Food; and Ecotourism segments.

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China Ecotourism Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides technology and operation services for lottery systems, terminal equipment, and game products in the lottery market primarily in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Lottery Systems, Terminal Equipment and Related products; Natural and Health Food; and Ecotourism segments. The company also offers video lottery systems, computer-generated ticket games, and KENO-type lottery to new media lottery. It is also involved in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of lottery ticket scanners and terminal equipment, as well as lottery system and equipment; provides management services; and research and development, processing, production, and sale of natural and health food. In addition, the company provides treasury management services, as well as develops lottery transaction and management systems. Further, it engages in the project development and operation of ecotourism business. The company was formerly known as China LotSynergy Holdings Limited and changed its name to China Ecotourism Group Limited in February 2021. China Ecotourism Group Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Wong Chuk Hang, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371) currently trades at HK$1.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1814, 86.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$0.1814 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$1.33 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$0.0588, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1603 (bear) to HK$0.2029 (bull), the price of HK$1.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$65.2M in FY2025 versus HK$125M in FY2021, a compound −15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$34.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.8M (≈ $232K) · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0600 · Net margin −52.2% · Return on equity −826% · Return on assets (EBIT) −57.7% · Operating margin 13.9% · Revenue (TTM) HK$66.5M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 33% fair-value upside, at −86%, 1371 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1603 Fair Value HK$0.1814 Bull HK$0.2029
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF HK$0.2320 HK$0.3103 HK$0.4151 81
Growth DCF HK$0.2379 HK$0.3113 HK$0.4057 80
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1183 HK$0.1333 HK$0.1492 74
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2320 HK$0.3103 HK$0.4151 81
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1183 HK$0.1333 HK$0.1492 74
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.1605 HK$0.1814 HK$0.2027 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$0.0499 HK$0.0588 HK$0.0677 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2379 HK$0.3113 HK$0.4057 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.1066 HK$0.1201 HK$0.1332 74

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 15/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−41.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −20.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−92.5% (2020) → −20.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1371 screens overvalued: fair value 86% below the price. Compare with Evolution AB →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gambling · 50 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 3.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −51.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13.9% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −46.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Gambling median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

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Lottomatica Group LTMC €26.54 €29.19 +10%
Super Group SGHC $11.72 $12.89 +10%
Light & Wonder, Inc LNWO $77.14 $102.32 +33%
Churchill Downs Incorporated CHDN $76.16 $105.50 +39%
Rush Street Interactive, Inc RSI $19.87 $21.86 +10%
FDJ United FDJU €21.14 €23.25 +10%
Brightstar Lottery PLC BRSL $9.89 $13.37 +35%

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HK$0.1814 −86%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1371

Frequently asked questions

Is China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1814 versus a price of HK$1.33, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1371?
Our model-based fair value for China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is HK$0.1814 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.33.
What is the quality score of 1371?
China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.1814 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1603, optimistic scenario HK$0.2029. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.1814, about −86% upside versus a price of HK$1.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1603, optimistic scenario HK$0.2029. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$66.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.1814 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.33. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1371 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.33, fair value HK$0.1814, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1371?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.1814). For China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.15 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.33; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.1814 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1371?
Our models span a range for China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1603, base HK$0.1814, optimistic HK$0.2029 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
Balance-sheet figures for China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1371 from its 52-week high?
China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.33, about 65% below its 52-week high of HK$3.85 and 48% above the low of HK$0.9000 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.1814 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Evolution AB, Flutter Entertainment plc, The Lottery Corporation, Lottomatica Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.33, calculated fair value HK$0.1814 (−86%), Quality Score 45/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1371 calculated?
We run China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.1814, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$1.33. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.1814, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2029). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
The market capitalisation of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is HK$1.8M (≈ $232K). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
Earnings per share at China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
The net margin of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is −52.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is −826% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is −57.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
The operating margin of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371)?
Revenue at China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is growing −46.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −22.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371) generate?
The free cash flow of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is HK$27.8M (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd (1371) carry?
The net debt of China LotSynergy Holdings Ltd is HK$270M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 9.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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