The Lottery Corporation (TLC) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$11.6B
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from A$3.04 to A$3.01 (−1.0%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +6.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range A$4.79 – A$5.71 · fair‑value band A$1.70 – A$3.99 · the A$5.59 price screens above the A$3.01 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
✦ Find undervalued quality stocks — 35,000+ analysed Find stocks →Analysis
The Lottery Corporation (TLC) currently trades at A$5.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$3.01 — implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, The Lottery Corporation generated revenue of A$3.8B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 114.0%. Net debt stands at A$2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
The Lottery Corporation Limited engages in provision of gaming services in Australia. It operates lottery and Keno games under The Lott and Keno brand names. The company was founded in 1881 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Lottery Corporation reported revenue of A$3.7B in FY2025 versus A$3.0B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$366M in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Open the full interactive analysis →
Similar stocks
6 more Gambling stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aristocrat Leisure Limited ARLUF | $41.84 | $27.19 | -35% |
| Allwyn AG GRKZF | $15.25 | $11.55 | -24% |
| Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT | $101.99 | $113.19 | +11% |
| Evolution AB EVGGF | $71.05 | $98.76 | +39% |
| DraftKings Inc DKNG | $25.37 | $0.8500 | -97% |
| Lottomatica Group LTMC | €26.66 | €16.38 | -39% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is The Lottery Corporation (TLC) undervalued?
What is the fair value of TLC?
What is the quality score of TLC?
What is the revenue of The Lottery Corporation (TLC)?
What is the net profit margin of TLC?
Does The Lottery Corporation pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.