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Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK

DT Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Deepexi Technology Co Ltd

1384 · HK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value HK$17.96 · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue YoY +70.8 %/yr)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/8)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$118.00 HK$28.60 Fair Value HK$17.96 Oct 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

11‑month range HK$28.60 – HK$118.00 · fair‑value band HK$11.84 – HK$22.43 · the HK$31.18 price screens above the HK$17.96 fair value. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Deepexi Technology Co., Ltd. provides enterprise-level big-model AI application solutions in China. the company offers solutions based on technology infrastructure, FastData enterprise data intelligence solution based on FastData Foil Data Fusion Platform; and FastAGI enterprise AI solution based on Deepexi enterprise large model platform.

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Deepexi Technology Co., Ltd. provides enterprise-level big-model AI application solutions in China. the company offers solutions based on technology infrastructure, FastData enterprise data intelligence solution based on FastData Foil Data Fusion Platform; and FastAGI enterprise AI solution based on Deepexi enterprise large model platform. It serves consumer goods, manufacturing, healthcare, and transportation industries. The company was formerly known as Beijing Deepexi Technology Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Deepexi Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2025. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Haidian, China.

Stock analysis

Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384) currently trades at HK$31.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$17.96, implying the stock looks roughly 73.6% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 87/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$11.84 (bear) to HK$22.43 (bull), the price of HK$31.18 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Deepexi Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 415M CNY in FY2025 versus 129M CNY in FY2023, a compound +79.3%/yr. Reported net income was −935M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$12.7B (≈ $1.6B) · P/S ratio 30.5 · EPS (TTM) HK$−1.12 · Net margin −225% · Return on assets (EBIT) −33.9% · Operating margin −6.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$415M · Revenue growth (YoY) +55.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −42%, 1384 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$11.84 Fair Value HK$17.96 Bull HK$22.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.24 HK$1.66 HK$2.48 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.24 HK$1.66 HK$2.48 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 1

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed

1384 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 698 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/6 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 54 · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 55% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.95× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 3.89× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 26
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 36
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €186.56 €156.00 −16%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$178.41 C$112.02 −37%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $71.43 $102.51 +44%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $255.65 $344.41 +35%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $141.90 $156.09 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $273.96 $224.24 −18%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $322.98 $74.65 −77%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $230.27 $32.92 −86%
Adobe Inc ADBE $257.76 $471.62 +83%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $276.53 $177.51 −36%

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Deepexi Technology Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$17.96 −74%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Deepexi Technology Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1384

Frequently asked questions

Is Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$17.96 versus a price of HK$31.18, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1384?
Our model-based fair value for Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is HK$17.96 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$31.18.
What is the quality score of 1384?
Deepexi Technology Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$17.96 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$11.84, optimistic scenario HK$22.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Deepexi Technology Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$17.96, about −42% upside versus a price of HK$31.18 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$11.84, optimistic scenario HK$22.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
Deepexi Technology Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$415M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Deepexi Technology Co Ltd it is HK$17.96 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of HK$31.18. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Deepexi Technology Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 1384 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$31.18, fair value HK$17.96, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1384?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$31.18); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$17.96). For Deepexi Technology Co Ltd the two are HK$13.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Deepexi Technology Co Ltd worth?
The market values Deepexi Technology Co Ltd at about HK$12.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$31.18; our models calculate a fair value of HK$17.96 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1384?
Our models span a range for Deepexi Technology Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$11.84, base HK$17.96, optimistic HK$22.43 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price HK$31.18). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 1384 from its 52-week high?
Deepexi Technology Co Ltd trades at HK$31.18, about 76% below its 52-week high of HK$128.20 and 9% above the low of HK$28.64 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$17.96 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Deepexi Technology Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Deepexi Technology Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price HK$31.18, calculated fair value HK$17.96 (−42%), Quality Score 56/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1384 calculated?
We run Deepexi Technology Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$17.96, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Deepexi Technology Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was HK$31.18. Our model-based fair value is HK$17.96, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Deepexi Technology Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$22.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (HK$11.84 to HK$22.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
The market capitalisation of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is HK$12.7B (≈ $1.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is 30.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
Earnings per share at Deepexi Technology Co Ltd are HK$−1.12. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
The net margin of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is −225% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is −33.9% (avg 3y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
The operating margin of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is −6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384)?
Revenue at Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is growing +55.1% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Deepexi Technology Co Ltd (1384) generate?
The free cash flow of Deepexi Technology Co Ltd is −HK$205M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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