Spring REIT (1426) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$2.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price −0.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 18% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.3100 to HK$2.49). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.16 – HK$1.99 · fair‑value band HK$0.3100 – HK$2.49 · the HK$1.19 price screens below the HK$1.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Spring REIT (1426) currently trades at HK$1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 17.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Spring REIT generated revenue of HK$621M at a net margin of -29.0%. Revenue declined 12.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.1%. Net debt stands at HK$4.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3100 (bear case) to HK$2.49 (bull case); at HK$1.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -23% fair-value upside, at 18%, 1426 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$2.79) versus Multiples (HK$1.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Spring Real Estate Investment Trust (Spring REIT) is a real estate investment trust. It is constituted by a trust deed as amended and supplemented by the first supplemental deed dated 22 May 2015, the First Amending and Restating Deed dated 28 May 2021 and the Second Amending and Restating Deed dated 20 September 2024 (collectively, the Trust Deed) between …
Full company description
Spring Real Estate Investment Trust (Spring REIT) is a real estate investment trust. It is constituted by a trust deed as amended and supplemented by the first supplemental deed dated 22 May 2015, the First Amending and Restating Deed dated 28 May 2021 and the Second Amending and Restating Deed dated 20 September 2024 (collectively, the Trust Deed) between Spring Asset Management Limited and DB Trustees (Hong Kong) Limited, as trustee of Spring REIT (the Trustee). Units of Spring REIT (the Units) were first listed on The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (the Stock Exchange) on 5 December 2013. Spring REIT offers investors direct exposure to two premium office buildings strategically located in Beijing Central Business District (Beijing CBD) through its ownership in China Central Place Office Tower 1 and 2 (and the relevant portion of the car park) (the CCP Property) and to a landmark shopping mall Huamao Place in Huizhou, located in Greater Bay Area, which comprises seven-storey shopping mall and 750 carpark spaces (the Huamao Place). Spring Real Estate Investment Trust was established on November 14, 2013 and incorporated in Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Spring REIT reported revenue of HK$691M in FY2025 versus HK$601M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$195M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
REIT - Diversified · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodman Group GMG | A$30.05 | A$7.37 | -75% |
| VICI Properties Inc VICI | $26.07 | $41.74 | +60% |
| W. P. Carey Inc WPC | $70.69 | $34.80 | -51% |
| Charter Hall Group CHC | A$23.56 | A$10.99 | -53% |
| Stockland SGP | A$4.27 | A$3.70 | -13% |
| Fibra Uno FUNO11 | 31.10 MXN | 54.87 MXN | +76% |
| The GPT Group GPT | A$5.19 | A$3.49 | -33% |
| Mirvac Group MGR | A$1.77 | A$0.5700 | -68% |
| KLCC Property Holdings 5235SS | 8.70 MYR | 6.66 MYR | -23% |
| Fibra Danhos DANHOS13 | 28.26 MXN | 49.89 MXN | +77% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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