Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 5, 2026: fair value of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc TWD 29.97, price TWD 14.85, upside +101.8%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.90 TWD – 54.62 TWD · fair‑value band 23.97 TWD – 36.94 TWD · the 14.85 TWD price screens below the 29.97 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Follow Sun Race Sturmey-Archer in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Sun Race Sturmey-Archer is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Corporation engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading various bicycles parts and mechanical hardware worldwide. The company offers products for race, gravel, MTB, cues and linkglide, and e-bike, as well as provides spare parts.
Show more
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Corporation engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading various bicycles parts and mechanical hardware worldwide. The company offers products for race, gravel, MTB, cues and linkglide, and e-bike, as well as provides spare parts. It is also involved in import, export, and wholesale business of industrial equipment and spare; management of real estate; and construction project development. Additionally, the company offers city bikes and kids bike parts. Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) currently trades at 14.85 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.97 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 50.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 30.19 TWD per share, and 10 of the 11 models we run sit above the 14.85 TWD price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 6.76 TWD, and 1 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 23.97 TWD (bear) to 36.94 TWD (bull), the price of 14.85 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc reported revenue of 771M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound −20.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.6M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 891M TWD (≈ $28.0M) · P/S ratio 1.42 · EPS (TTM) −0.1100 TWD · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity −4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin −19.5% · Revenue (TTM) 732M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 39% fair-value upside, at 102%, 1526 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 23.97 TWDFair Value 29.97 TWDBull 36.94 TWD
Price 14.85 TWD · Upside +101.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−29.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.3%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
10.6% (2020) → −6.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.7% a year for the price.
Compare Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 176 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+101.8% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−19.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−19.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.97 TWD versus a price of 14.85 TWD, about +102% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1526?
Our model-based fair value for Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is 29.97 TWD (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.85 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1526?
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.97 TWD (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 23.97 TWD, optimistic scenario 36.94 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.97 TWD, about +102% upside versus a price of 14.85 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 23.97 TWD, optimistic scenario 36.94 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 732M TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc would have to grow free cash flow by -12.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.2 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1526 use?
Our models discount Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.37, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc that is -12.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc grew -9.2 % a year. The price currently implies -12.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (-12.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.49 %: that much free cash flow Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc it is 29.97 TWD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 14.85 TWD. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 1526 trades below its calculated fair value: price 14.85 TWD, fair value 29.97 TWD, a gap of about +102% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1526?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.85 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.97 TWD). For Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc the two are 15.12 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc worth?
The market values Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc at about 891M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 14.85 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 29.97 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1526?
Our models span a range for Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc: cautious scenario 23.97 TWD, base 29.97 TWD, optimistic 36.94 TWD per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 14.85 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −4.2%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1526 from its 52-week high?
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc trades at 14.85 TWD, about 37% below its 52-week high of 23.55 TWD and 7% above the low of 13.90 TWD (as of Oct 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.97 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 14.85 TWD, calculated fair value 29.97 TWD (+102%), Quality Score 62/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1526 calculated?
We run Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29.97 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The closing price on Oct 5, 2026 was 14.85 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 29.97 TWD, about +102% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (23.97 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The market capitalisation of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is 891M TWD (≈ $28.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is 1.42 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Earnings per share at Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc are −0.1100 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The net margin of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is −0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is −4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
The operating margin of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is −19.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Revenue at Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is growing −19.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −29.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526)?
Earnings per share at Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc are growing −79.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) carry?
The net debt of Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc is 405M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
