Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · TW · Market cap 1.0B TWD
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +3.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (13.30 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (5.49 TWD to 13.30 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.90 TWD – 54.62 TWD · fair‑value band 5.49 TWD – 13.30 TWD · the 16.80 TWD price screens above the 8.67 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc (1526) currently trades at 16.80 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.67 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 48.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc generated revenue of 732M TWD at a net margin of -7.8%. Revenue declined 19.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.2%. Net debt stands at 405M TWD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5.49 TWD (bear case) to 13.30 TWD (bull case); at 16.80 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at -48%, 1526 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (27.80 TWD) versus Multiples (6.76 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Corporation engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading various bicycles parts and mechanical hardware worldwide. The company offers products for race, gravel, MTB, cues and linkglide, and e-bike, as well as provides spare parts.
Full company description
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Corporation engages in manufacturing, processing, and trading various bicycles parts and mechanical hardware worldwide. The company offers products for race, gravel, MTB, cues and linkglide, and e-bike, as well as provides spare parts. It is also involved in import, export, and wholesale business of industrial equipment and spare; management of real estate; and construction project development. Additionally, the company offers city bikes and kids bike parts. Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Corporation was incorporated in 1972 and is based in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sun Race Sturmey-Archer Inc reported revenue of 771M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.9B TWD in FY2021, a compound −20.1%/yr. Reported net income was −6.6M TWD in FY2025.
1526 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with ANTA Sports Products Limited →
Peer Group
Leisure · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Leisure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANTA Sports Products Limited 2020 | HK$72.80 | HK$119.82 | +65% |
| Pop Mart International Group 9992 | HK$151.00 | HK$227.30 | +51% |
| Amer Sports, Inc AS | $33.03 | $16.16 | -51% |
| Hasbro, Inc HAS | $94.89 | $81.97 | -14% |
| Life Time Group LTH | $45.40 | $15.61 | -66% |
| Ninebot Limited 689009 | ¥44.94 | ¥39.73 | -12% |
| Li Ning Company 2331 | HK$14.59 | HK$29.45 | +102% |
| Asmodee Group ASMDEEB | kr 158.70 | kr 96.65 | -39% |
| Smartfit Escola de Ginástica e Dança S.A SMFT3 | R$17.25 | R$22.90 | +33% |
| Songcheng Performance Development Co 300144 | ¥6.17 | ¥6.85 | +11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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