Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Asia Seed Co.Ltd KRW 500, price KRW 1,600, upside -68.7%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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ASIA SEED Co.,Ltd. engages in the development and sale of seeds for vegetables and fruits in South Korea and internationally.
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ASIA SEED Co.,Ltd. engages in the development and sale of seeds for vegetables and fruits in South Korea and internationally. The company offers seeds for pepper, sweet pepper, squash, tomato, watermelon, radish, onion, Chinese cabbage, Korean melon, melon, cabbage, cucumber, lettuce, corn, broccoli, cauliflower, kale, kohlrabi, eggplant, rootstock, pakchoi, carrot, bunching onion, pea, bitter gourd, herbs, etc. It also provides books, magazines, and garden tools. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.
Stock analysis
Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030) currently trades at 1,600 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 500.15 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 219.9% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 330.10 KRW (bear) to 625.18 KRW (bull), the price of 1,600 KRW sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Asia Seed Co.Ltd reported revenue of 3.5B KRW in FY2025 versus 24.4B KRW in FY2021, a compound −38.4%/yr. Reported net income was −1.4B KRW in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 19.3B KRW (≈ $14.2M) · P/S ratio 0.70 · Net margin −38.9% · Return on equity 7.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin 13.8% · Revenue growth (YoY) −3.8% · EPS growth (YoY) −32.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −69%, 154030 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 330.10 KRWFair Value 500.15 KRWBull 625.18 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−85.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−47.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−31.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−1.4% (2020) → −27.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Agricultural Inputs · 180 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.12× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Agricultural Inputs median · lower = cheaper
EV/EBITDA0.8× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)31· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)94· sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
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Is Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 500.15 KRW versus a price of 1,600 KRW, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 154030?
Our model-based fair value for Asia Seed Co.Ltd is 500.15 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1,600 KRW.
What is the quality score of 154030?
Asia Seed Co.Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 500.15 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 330.10 KRW, optimistic scenario 625.18 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Asia Seed Co.Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 500.15 KRW, about −69% upside versus a price of 1,600 KRW (overvalued). Cautious scenario 330.10 KRW, optimistic scenario 625.18 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Asia Seed Co.Ltd it is 500.15 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1,600 KRW. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Asia Seed Co.Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 154030 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1,600 KRW, fair value 500.15 KRW, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 154030?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1,600 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (500.15 KRW). For Asia Seed Co.Ltd the two are 1,100 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Asia Seed Co.Ltd worth?
The market values Asia Seed Co.Ltd at about 19.3B KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1,600 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 500.15 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 154030?
Our models span a range for Asia Seed Co.Ltd: cautious scenario 330.10 KRW, base 500.15 KRW, optimistic 625.18 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1,600 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
Balance-sheet figures for Asia Seed Co.Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.7%, debt of 0.12 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 154030 from its 52-week high?
Asia Seed Co.Ltd trades at 1,600 KRW, about 33% below its 52-week high of 2,385 KRW and 4% above the low of 1,535 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 500.15 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Asia Seed Co.Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Corteva, Inc, Nutrien Ltd, Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co, CF Industries Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Asia Seed Co.Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1,600 KRW, calculated fair value 500.15 KRW (−69%), Quality Score 36/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 154030 calculated?
We run Asia Seed Co.Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 500.15 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Asia Seed Co.Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1,600 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 500.15 KRW, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Asia Seed Co.Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (625.18 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (330.10 KRW to 625.18 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Asia Seed Co.Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
The market capitalisation of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is 19.3B KRW (≈ $14.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is 0.70 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
The net margin of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is −38.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is 7.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
The operating margin of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is 13.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
Revenue at Asia Seed Co.Ltd is growing −3.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030)?
Earnings per share at Asia Seed Co.Ltd are growing −32.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030) generate?
The free cash flow of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is −543M KRW (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Asia Seed Co.Ltd (154030) carry?
The net debt of Asia Seed Co.Ltd is 10.4B KRW (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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