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Guangdong Join-Share (1543) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$301M

GJ Guangdong Join-Share 1543 · HK
PriceHK$0.1890
Fair ValueHK$0.2300
Upside+21.7%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$0.2100 – HK$0.2500 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.2100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.59 HK$0.1520 Fair Value HK$0.2300 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1520 – HK$1.59 · fair‑value band HK$0.2100 – HK$0.2500 · the HK$0.1890 price screens below the HK$0.2300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Join-Share (1543) currently trades at HK$0.1890, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2300, implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Join-Share generated revenue of HK$310M at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 24.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at HK$187M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2100 (bear case) to HK$0.2500 (bull case); at HK$0.1890, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 22%, 1543 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.6400 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9700 80
Residual Income HK$0.8200 HK$0.7500 HK$0.4800 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.5200 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8000 74
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.3100 HK$0.3500 HK$0.4100 31
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.4100 HK$0.4500 HK$0.4900 38
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.5100 HK$0.5400 HK$0.5600 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0400 HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 54
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.1900 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2300 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.1900 HK$0.2300 HK$0.2800 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 63
P/B Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 HK$0.1400 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6500 HK$0.8700 HK$1.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6400 HK$0.7700 HK$0.9700 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.5200 HK$0.6400 HK$0.8000 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.8200 HK$0.7500 HK$0.4800 76

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (HK$0.8700) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$310M
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.1%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 1.2%
Free cash flow HK$84.6M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.3 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 21.2%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0100
EPS growth (YoY) -4.0%
Net debt HK$187M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 99
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Join-Share Financing Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit-based financing solutions to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for their financing and business needs in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Guarantee Business and SMEs Lending.

Full company description

Guangdong Join-Share Financing Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides credit-based financing solutions to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) for their financing and business needs in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Guarantee Business and SMEs Lending. The Guarantees Business segment offers financing guarantees, such as indirect and direct financing guarantees; non-financing guarantees, including litigation preservation guarantees, engineering guarantee letters, and other performance guarantee letters; performance guarantees; and litigation guarantees. This segment also provides debt financing, internal control, and risk management-related consulting services to the guarantee customers; and guarantees on behalf of SMEs and individual business proprietors. The SMEs Lending segment offers loan and related financing consulting services to small and medium-sized and micro-enterprises; micro-enterprises or the owners of SME enterprises; and micro-lending, entrusted loans to SMEs, individual business proprietors, and individuals. The company also provides investment and consulting services; microcredit, supply chain, factoring, and related consulting services; and digital technology services. Guangdong Join-Share Financing Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Guangdong Join-Share Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Join-Share Financing Guarantee Investment Co., Ltd. in April 2011. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Foshan, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Join-Share reported revenue of HK$297M in FY2025 versus HK$369M in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.1M in FY2025, compounding −40.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$297M
Latest YoY
−23.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Revenue −5.3%/yr
FY21 HK$369M
FY22 HK$346M
FY23 HK$336M
FY24 HK$387M
FY25 HK$297M
Net income −40.7%/yr
FY21 HK$82.0M
FY22 HK$42.6M
FY23 HK$38.4M
FY24 HK$42.2M
FY25 HK$10.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −19.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −5.0 pp

of which total revenue +1.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.1 pp

EBIT margin −9.8 pp
Tax rate −2.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Join-Share Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1543

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +22% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Below median
Revenue growth -24% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 13.0% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 62 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 5 · sector 31
HEALTH 87 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Join-Share (1543) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2300 versus a price of HK$0.1890, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1543?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Join-Share is HK$0.2300 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1890.
What is the quality score of 1543?
Guangdong Join-Share has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Join-Share (1543)?
Guangdong Join-Share reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$310M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1543?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Join-Share is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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