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Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$149M

EH Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd 1549 · HK
PriceHK$0.0690
Fair ValueHK$0.0774
Upside+12.2%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 16/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.0632 – HK$0.0987 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0762 to HK$0.0774 (+1.6%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −8.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 12% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • Our model range runs from HK$0.0632 (bear) to HK$0.0987 (bull), base HK$0.0774. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$0.4100 HK$0.0510 Fair Value HK$0.0774 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$0.4100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0632 – HK$0.0987 · the HK$0.0690 price screens below the HK$0.0774 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) currently trades at HK$0.0690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0774, implying the stock looks roughly 12.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$450M at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue grew 5.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$92.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0632 (bear case) to HK$0.0987 (bull case); at HK$0.0690, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 59% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at 12%, 1549 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 80
Residual Income HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0700 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.1700 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2200 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2200 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 39
5Y P/E Exit HK$0.1800 HK$0.2100 HK$0.2500 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$0.2200 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3200 36
10Y P/E Exit HK$0.2000 HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.0300 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 HK$0.1300 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 55
EV/Revenue HK$0.2400 HK$0.3100 HK$0.3700 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0700 HK$0.0900 HK$0.1400 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2500 HK$0.2900 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$0.2200 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3600 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.0900 HK$0.0900 HK$0.0700 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1000 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.2500) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.0600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$450M
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.0%
Net margin 1.7%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow HK$26.3M FY2025
Operating margin -10.1%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -72.5%
Net cash HK$92.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 4
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ever Harvest Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides sea freight transportation and freight forwarding services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Sea Freight Forwarding Agency Services, Fujian Routes, Guangxi Routes, Guangdong Routes, and Hainan Routes segments.

Full company description

Ever Harvest Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides sea freight transportation and freight forwarding services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Sea Freight Forwarding Agency Services, Fujian Routes, Guangxi Routes, Guangdong Routes, and Hainan Routes segments. The company offers feeder shipping, carrier-owned container, sea freight forwarding agency, and barge services. It also provides feeder rental, property holding, and freight forwarding consulting services. Ever Harvest Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$450M in FY2025 versus HK$489M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.7M in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$450M
Latest YoY
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Revenue −2.0%/yr
FY21 HK$489M
FY22 HK$656M
FY23 HK$392M
FY24 HK$403M
FY25 HK$450M
Net income −23.8%/yr
FY21 HK$22.8M
FY22 HK$27.6M
FY23 HK$513K
FY24 −HK$9.3M
FY25 HK$7.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1549

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 232 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 55 · sector 22
FUTURE 25 · sector 20
PAST 15 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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PT Transcoal Pacific Tbk, a shipping company, TCPI 3,640 IDR 368.32 IDR -90%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0774 versus a price of HK$0.0690, about +12% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1549?
Our model-based fair value for Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0774 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0690.
What is the quality score of 1549?
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$450M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1549?
The net profit margin of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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