Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.10, price HK$0.08, upside +22.1%, quality 68 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0510 – HK$0.4100 · fair‑value band HK$0.0952 – HK$0.1030 · the HK$0.0780 price screens below the HK$0.0952 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Ever Harvest Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides sea freight transportation and freight forwarding services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Sea Freight Forwarding Agency Services, Fujian Routes, Guangxi Routes, Guangdong Routes, and Hainan Routes segments.
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Ever Harvest Group Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides sea freight transportation and freight forwarding services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Sea Freight Forwarding Agency Services, Fujian Routes, Guangxi Routes, Guangdong Routes, and Hainan Routes segments. The company offers feeder shipping, carrier-owned container, sea freight forwarding agency, and barge services. It also provides feeder rental, property holding, and freight forwarding consulting services. Ever Harvest Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cheung Sha Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) currently trades at HK$0.0780, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0952, implying the stock looks roughly 18.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$0.3100 per share, and 15 of the 16 models we run sit above the HK$0.0780 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0600, and 1 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0952 (bear) to HK$0.1030 (bull), the price of HK$0.0780 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$450M in FY2025 versus HK$489M in FY2021, a compound −2.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$7.7M in FY2025, compounding −23.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$121M (≈ $15.4M) · P/S ratio 0.24 · Net margin 1.7% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 1.2% · Revenue (TTM) HK$491M · Revenue growth (YoY) +19.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 60% fair-value upside, at 22%, 1549 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0952Fair Value HK$0.0952Bull HK$0.1030
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.2% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−20.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−20.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20.6% vs −14.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → −4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 228 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+22.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets−3.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1549
Frequently asked questions
Is Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0952 versus a price of HK$0.0780, about +22% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1549?
Our model-based fair value for Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0952 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0780.
What is the quality score of 1549?
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0952 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0952, optimistic scenario HK$0.1030. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0952, about +22% upside versus a price of HK$0.0780 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0952, optimistic scenario HK$0.1030. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$491M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.3 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1549 use?
Our models discount Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.43, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd grew +4.3 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.74 %: that much free cash flow Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0952 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0780. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1549 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0780, fair value HK$0.0952, a gap of about +22% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1549?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0780); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0952). For Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0172 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$121M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0780; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0952 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1549?
Our models span a range for Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0952, base HK$0.0952, optimistic HK$0.1030 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0780). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1549 from its 52-week high?
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.0780, about 39% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1280 and 24% above the low of HK$0.0630 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0952 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0780, calculated fair value HK$0.0952 (+22%), Quality Score 68/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1549 calculated?
We run Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0952, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd currently trades 18 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.0780. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0952, about +22% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0952). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.0952 to HK$0.1030), unusually little disagreement for a valuation. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The market capitalisation of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is HK$121M (≈ $15.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The net margin of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is 1.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
The operating margin of Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Revenue at Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd is growing +19.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −11.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549)?
Earnings per share at Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd are growing −89.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd (1549) hold?
Ever Harvest Group Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$92.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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