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Maike Tube Industry Holdings (1553) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$568M

MT Maike Tube Industry Holdings 1553 · HK
PriceHK$1.55
Fair ValueHK$3.65
Upside+136.4%
Quality50/100
Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.3% net margin
negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/11)
Narrow moat 38/100
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Evidence: High Range HK$2.52 – HK$4.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$4.24 to HK$3.65 (−13.9%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +17.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 136% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$2.52). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$2.52 to HK$4.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.65 HK$0.7306 Fair Value HK$3.65 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.7306 – HK$1.65 · fair‑value band HK$2.52 – HK$4.75 · the HK$1.55 price screens below the HK$3.65 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Maike Tube Industry Holdings (1553) currently trades at HK$1.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.65, implying the stock looks roughly 136.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Maike Tube Industry Holdings generated revenue of HK$2.2B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 33.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.8%. Net debt stands at HK$252M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$2.52 (bear case) to HK$4.75 (bull case); at HK$1.55, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 136%, 1553 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$2.43 HK$2.70 HK$3.91 76
Gordon GGM HK$0.8500 HK$1.54 HK$2.12 70
Growth-Adj P/E HK$4.07 HK$5.82 HK$7.56 68
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$2.86 HK$4.34 HK$6.58 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$2.19 HK$9.87 HK$13.53 54
Lynch FV HK$2.57 HK$3.68 HK$4.78 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$2.57 HK$3.68 HK$4.78 46
EPV HK$2.75 HK$3.05 HK$3.30 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.8500 HK$1.54 HK$2.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.8500 HK$1.41 HK$1.64 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$4.84 HK$6.45 HK$8.06 63
P/S Multiple HK$4.11 HK$5.48 HK$6.85 58
P/B Multiple HK$4.11 HK$5.48 HK$6.85 55
EV/EBIT HK$5.05 HK$6.55 HK$8.05 53
EV/EBITDA HK$4.92 HK$6.37 HK$7.82 54
EV/Revenue HK$3.59 HK$4.89 HK$6.18 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.42 HK$1.90 HK$2.83 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.43 HK$2.70 HK$3.91 76
ROIC Compounder HK$2.75 HK$3.24 HK$3.90 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$4.07 HK$5.82 HK$7.56 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$5.82) versus Dividend Discount (HK$1.41). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.7%
Net margin 6.3%
Return on equity 11.8%
Free cash flow −HK$98.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 3.5
More key figures
Operating margin 5.7%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.2000
EPS growth (YoY) -12.1%
Net debt HK$252M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 59
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Maike Tube Industry Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells steel pipe products and prefabricated pipe nipple products in the People's Republic of China, the United States, rest of the Americas, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company offers standard prefabricated pipe products; and steel pipe products.

Full company description

Maike Tube Industry Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells steel pipe products and prefabricated pipe nipple products in the People's Republic of China, the United States, rest of the Americas, rest of Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company offers standard prefabricated pipe products; and steel pipe products. It also engages in the design and supply of assembled piping systems, as well as trades in steel coils. The company serves gas, as well as heating, ventilation, and air conditioning companies; and water supply companies, infrastructure and construction companies, wholesalers, and distributors. Maike Tube Industry Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maike Tube Industry Holdings reported revenue of HK$2.2B in FY2025 versus HK$1.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$140M in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 48/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$2.2B
Latest YoY
−13.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+19.3%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 HK$1.8B
FY22 HK$2.1B
FY23 HK$2.2B
FY24 HK$2.6B
FY25 HK$2.2B
Net income +4.8%/yr
FY21 HK$116M
FY22 HK$140M
FY23 HK$154M
FY24 HK$142M
FY25 HK$140M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maike Tube Industry Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1553

Peer Group

Steel · 383 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +136% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth -34% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.46× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 24
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 47 · sector 14
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹185.26 ₹147.13 -21%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.04 kr 72.43 -25%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Maike Tube Industry Holdings (1553) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.65 versus a price of HK$1.55, about +136% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1553?
Our model-based fair value for Maike Tube Industry Holdings is HK$3.65 (as of Aug 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.55.
What is the quality score of 1553?
Maike Tube Industry Holdings has a Quality Score of 50/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Maike Tube Industry Holdings (1553)?
Maike Tube Industry Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1553?
The net profit margin of Maike Tube Industry Holdings is about 6.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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