Kwan On Holdings Ltd (1559) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$143M

Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0413). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0420 – HK$0.3227 · fair‑value band HK$0.0358 – HK$0.0413 · the HK$0.0560 price screens above the HK$0.0358 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kwan On Holdings Ltd (1559) currently trades at HK$0.0560, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0358, implying the stock looks roughly 36.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kwan On Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$286M at a net margin of -20.6%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$18.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0358 (bear case) to HK$0.0413 (bull case); at HK$0.0560, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at -36%, 1559 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Kwan On Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the construction and maintenance works on civil engineering contracts and building works contracts in Cambodia, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Malaysia. The company operates through Construction, Property Development, and Trading segments.

Full company description

Kwan On Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the construction and maintenance works on civil engineering contracts and building works contracts in Cambodia, the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, and Malaysia. The company operates through Construction, Property Development, and Trading segments. It undertakes works related to buildings, waterworks, site formation, roads, and drainage and slope upgrading services. The company is also involved in the provision of contracting work on civil plumbing, fire protection, insulation, concrete repair, and related activities. In addition, it engages in property holding activities; and provision of construction site workmen services, as well as is involved in the trade of chemical materials. Further, the company develops and sells commercial and residential buildings and car parking spaces. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Central and Western, Hong Kong. Kwan On Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Sino Coronet Group Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Kwan On Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$286M in FY2026 versus HK$515M in FY2022, a compound −13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$59.1M in FY2026.

1559 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 837 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.