Da Sen Holdings (1580) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$252M
Fair value as of: Aug 5, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 5, 2026, revised from HK$0.0200 to HK$0.1600 (+700.0%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0750 – HK$0.5200 · the HK$0.2500 price screens above the HK$0.1600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 5, 2026.
Analysis
Da Sen Holdings (1580) currently trades at HK$0.2500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1600, implying the stock looks roughly 36.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Da Sen Holdings generated revenue of HK$11.3M at a net margin of -72.7%. Revenue declined 62.9% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$28.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 5, 2026
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and 121% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -32% fair-value upside, at -36%, 1580 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.1600) versus DCF Models (HK$0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Da Sen Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells plywood products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Manufacturing and selling of plywood and related services; Leasing activities; and Trading of agricultural products segments.
Full company description
Da Sen Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells plywood products in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Manufacturing and selling of plywood and related services; Leasing activities; and Trading of agricultural products segments. The company also engages in manufacturing of interior decorative materials and furniture; leasing business; and technology development. Da Sen Holdings Group Limited was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Heze, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Da Sen Holdings reported revenue of HK$6.9M in FY2025 versus HK$173M in FY2021, a compound −55.3%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$10.2M in FY2025.
1580 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 77 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $188.80 | $147.92 | -22% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$98.54 | C$51.55 | -48% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $85.93 | $108.78 | +27% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$78.93 | C$96.01 | +22% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $76.06 | $51.92 | -32% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹799.50 | ₹201.01 | -75% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥11.74 | ¥14.78 | +26% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$14.17 | C$4.54 | -68% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$13.45 | C$6.43 | -52% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.05 | ¥0.6700 | -78% |
Compare Da Sen Holdings with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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