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Wisdom Sports Group (1661) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$415M

WS Wisdom Sports Group 1661 · HK
PriceHK$1.66
Fair ValueHK$1.33
Upside-19.9%
Quality63/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -14.7% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.8800 – HK$1.67 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −14.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.8800 to HK$1.67) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$3.24 HK$0.4500 Fair Value HK$1.33 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4500 – HK$3.24 · fair‑value band HK$0.8800 – HK$1.67 · the HK$1.66 price screens above the HK$1.33 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Wisdom Sports Group (1661) currently trades at HK$1.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.33, implying the stock looks roughly 19.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Wisdom Sports Group generated revenue of HK$223M at a net margin of -14.7%. Revenue grew 268.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$150M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.8800 (bear case) to HK$1.67 (bull case); at HK$1.66, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 186% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at -20%, 1661 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7800 HK$1.04 HK$1.55 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.7800 HK$1.04 HK$1.55 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$223M
Revenue growth (YoY) +268%
Net margin -14.7%
Return on equity -10.1%
Free cash flow −HK$109M FY2025
Operating margin -3.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1100
Net cash HK$150M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Frontier Technology Group, an investment holding company, provides events operation and marketing services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates through Events Operation and Marketing; Sports Services; and Trading Business segments.

Full company description

China Frontier Technology Group, an investment holding company, provides events operation and marketing services in the People's Republic of China and Hong Kong. The company operates through Events Operation and Marketing; Sports Services; and Trading Business segments. The Events Operation and Marketing segment provides marketing services in conjunction with sports-related competitions, including corporate sponsorship. The Sports Services segment offers sports-related competition services primarily to government, marathon runners, and media companies. This segment is also involved in the live broadcasting of tournaments; marathon timing; and program production and equipment rental activities. The Trading Business segment provides cigar and functional materiels. The company was formerly known as Wisdom Sports Group and changed its name to China Frontier Technology Group in July 2024. China Frontier Technology Group was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wisdom Sports Group reported revenue of HK$223M in FY2025 versus HK$12.2M in FY2021, a compound +107.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$32.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$223M
Latest YoY
+186.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+255.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+90.4%
Avg. growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Revenue +107.0%/yr
FY21 HK$12.2M
FY22 HK$5.0M
FY23 HK$32.2M
FY24 HK$78.1M
FY25 HK$223M
Net income
FY21 −HK$47.8M
FY22 −HK$75.5M
FY23 −HK$87.2M
FY24 −HK$52.6M
FY25 −HK$32.7M

1661 screens 20% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wisdom Sports Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1661

Peer Group

Entertainment · 266 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −20% · Above median
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -15% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -4% · Below median
Revenue growth 268% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 6
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.08 C$2.66 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $103.18 $80.62 -22%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $27.65 $9.03 -67%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $185.33 $59.97 -68%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 59.14 MXN +8%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 370.00 IDR 212.14 IDR -43%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹268.00 ₹63.45 -76%
JYP Entertainment Corporation 035900 46,000 KRW 82,382 KRW +79%
SM Entertainment Co 041510 75,500 KRW 208,415 KRW +176%
PVR INOX Limited PVRINOX ₹1,176 ₹467.91 -60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wisdom Sports Group (1661) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.33 versus a price of HK$1.66, about −20% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1661?
Our model-based fair value for Wisdom Sports Group is HK$1.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.66.
What is the quality score of 1661?
Wisdom Sports Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wisdom Sports Group (1661)?
Wisdom Sports Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$223M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1661?
The net profit margin of Wisdom Sports Group is about -14.7%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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