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Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · TW · Market cap 13.3B TWD

FU Formosan Union Chemical Corp 1709 · TW
Price27.30 TWD
Fair Value17.74 TWD
Upside-35.0%
Quality61/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.56% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range 13.05 TWD – 25.69 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price +11.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 35% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (25.69 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (13.05 TWD to 25.69 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

30.30 TWD 12.87 TWD Fair Value 17.74 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 12.87 TWD – 30.30 TWD · fair‑value band 13.05 TWD – 25.69 TWD · the 27.30 TWD price screens above the 17.74 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) currently trades at 27.30 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.74 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 35.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Formosan Union Chemical Corp generated revenue of 8.8B TWD at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue declined 7.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at 1.1B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 13.05 TWD (bear case) to 25.69 TWD (bull case); at 27.30 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -35%, 1709 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 11.59 TWD 15.45 TWD 22.04 TWD 80
Residual Income 15.02 TWD 15.66 TWD 16.37 TWD 76
Rev-Margin DCF 11.69 TWD 17.16 TWD 23.83 TWD 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 11.12 TWD 15.09 TWD 22.45 TWD 38
Owner Earnings 16.83 TWD 23.04 TWD 34.55 TWD 31
5Y Revenue Exit 11.69 TWD 16.92 TWD 24.53 TWD 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.25 TWD 17.89 TWD 25.37 TWD 41
5Y P/E Exit 13.14 TWD 19.44 TWD 26.95 TWD 38
10Y Revenue Exit 11.07 TWD 14.95 TWD 19.15 TWD 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 11.73 TWD 15.55 TWD 19.64 TWD 37
10Y P/E Exit 12.27 TWD 16.51 TWD 20.57 TWD 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 8.36 TWD 10.21 TWD 11.49 TWD 54
EPV 10.55 TWD 12.14 TWD 13.53 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 15.67 TWD 20.89 TWD 26.11 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 15.67 TWD 20.89 TWD 26.11 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 15.67 TWD 20.89 TWD 26.11 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 14.90 TWD 19.53 TWD 24.16 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 14.97 TWD 19.63 TWD 24.29 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 13.05 TWD 18.21 TWD 23.37 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 9.38 TWD 12.57 TWD 18.76 TWD 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.59 TWD 15.45 TWD 22.04 TWD 80
Rev-Margin DCF 11.69 TWD 17.16 TWD 23.83 TWD 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.02 TWD 15.66 TWD 16.37 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 10.55 TWD 12.14 TWD 13.53 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 11.16 TWD 15.94 TWD 20.73 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (19.63 TWD) versus Earnings-Based (10.21 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 8.8B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.5%
Net margin 7.5%
Return on equity 7.3%
Free cash flow 497M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 17.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) 1.23 TWD
Dividend yield 4.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.5%
Net debt 1.1B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 90

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 96
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 95
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 92
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Formosan Union Chemical Corp. produces and sells chemical products in Taiwan, China, Guatemala, the Philippines, Vietnam, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Formosan Union Chemical Corp. produces and sells chemical products in Taiwan, China, Guatemala, the Philippines, Vietnam, the United States, and internationally. The company offers alkyl benzene, which is used as a raw material for detergents; nonyl phenol that is used as a raw material for surfactants rubbers and plastic anti-oxidant agents, etc., as well as dodecyl phenol for lubricating oils.; and hydrogenated hydrocarbon resin, which is used as a raw material for the production of ethylene-vinyl acetate polymer EVA and thermal plastic rubber TPR series hot melt adhesives. It also trades in residential and commercial property and electronic materials, as well as engages in the solar photovoltaic system construction, maintenance, and operation; land development; and agency business of Huawei products; development of an online booking platform; and hotel operation. In addition, the company is involved in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of petroleum resins, polyester resins, melamine resins, plaque resins, urea resins, alkyd resins, acetate resins, butyl acrylate resins, alkylbenzene and sulfonic acid, and aromatic hydrocarbon fluxes; planning and design of petrochemical engineering; installation and trading of mechanical equipment; distribution of domestic liquefied petroleum gas; and repair and maintenance and inspection of steel cylinders. Further, it engages in the petrochemical raw materials, synthetic resins, rubber and plastics, other chemical products manufacturing and wholesale; and manufacturing and sales of pesticides and sugar, batteries, and electronic components, as well as power generation, transmission, and power distribution machinery; warehouse and silo lease activity; and food trading and bakery operations. The company was founded in 1973 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Formosan Union Chemical Corp reported revenue of 9.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 9.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 586M TWD in FY2025, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.0B TWD
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue −0.5%/yr
FY21 9.2B TWD
FY22 10.6B TWD
FY23 9.4B TWD
FY24 10.3B TWD
FY25 9.0B TWD
Net income −11.3%/yr
FY21 948M TWD
FY22 1.1B TWD
FY23 418M TWD
FY24 734M TWD
FY25 586M TWD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +0.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.3 pp

of which total revenue −0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin −2.0 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +2.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

1709 screens 35% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Formosan Union Chemical Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1709

Peer Group

Chemicals · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −35% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.49× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.51× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.9× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 29 · sector 19
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 71 · sector 27

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.74 TWD versus a price of 27.30 TWD, about −35% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1709?
Our model-based fair value for Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 17.74 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 27.30 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1709?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 8.8B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1709?
The net profit margin of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is about 7.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Formosan Union Chemical Corp pay a dividend?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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