Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Formosan Union Chemical Corp stock TWD 15.51, price TWD 44.45, that is 65.1% below the price, quality 65 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 16.05 TWD – 64.30 TWD · fair‑value band 11.39 TWD – 19.12 TWD · the 44.45 TWD price screens above the 15.51 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Formosan Union Chemical Corp. produces and sells chemical products in Taiwan, China, Guatemala, the Philippines, Vietnam, the United States, and internationally.
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The company offers alkyl benzene, which is used as a raw material for detergents; nonyl phenol that is used as a raw material for surfactants rubbers and plastic anti-oxidant agents, etc., as well as dodecyl phenol for lubricating oils.; and hydrogenated hydrocarbon resin, which is used as a raw material for the production of ethylene-vinyl acetate polymer EVA and thermal plastic rubber TPR series hot melt adhesives.
It also trades in residential and commercial property and electronic materials, as well as engages in the solar photovoltaic system construction, maintenance, and operation; land development; and agency business of Huawei products; development of an online booking platform; and hotel operation.
In addition, the company is involved in the manufacturing, processing, and trading of petroleum resins, polyester resins, melamine resins, plaque resins, urea resins, alkyd resins, acetate resins, butyl acrylate resins, alkylbenzene and sulfonic acid, and aromatic hydrocarbon fluxes; planning and design of petrochemical engineering; installation and trading of mechanical equipment; distribution of domestic liquefied petroleum gas; and repair and maintenance and inspection of steel cylinders.
Further, it engages in the petrochemical raw materials, synthetic resins, rubber and plastics, other chemical products manufacturing and wholesale; and manufacturing and sales of pesticides and sugar, batteries, and electronic components, as well as power generation, transmission, and power distribution machinery; warehouse and silo lease activity; and food trading and bakery operations.
The company was founded in 1973 and is based in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) currently trades at 44.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.51 TWD, 65% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 18.18 TWD per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the 44.45 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4.99 TWD, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 11.39 TWD (bear) to 19.12 TWD (bull), the price of 44.45 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Formosan Union Chemical Corp reported revenue of 9.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 9.2B TWD in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was 586M TWD in FY2025, compounding −11.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 21.2B TWD (≈ $646M) Small · P/E ratio 22.2 · P/S ratio 2.28 · EPS (TTM) 2.00 TWD · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 10.3% · Return on equity 10.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 171% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at −65%, 1709 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear11.39 TWDFair Value 15.51 TWDBull19.12 TWD
Price 44.45 TWD · Downside -65.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8575 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Per share before 2017divided by the spin-off factor 1.0376
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1.2% vs −0.5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 7%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.5%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +22.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 337 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−65.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)24.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)22.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Formosan Union Chemical Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1709
Frequently asked questions
Is Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.51 TWD versus a price of 44.45 TWD, about 65% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1709?
Our model-based fair value for Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 15.51 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 44.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 1709?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp has a Quality Score of 65/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 15.51 TWD (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 11.39 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.12 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Formosan Union Chemical Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 15.51 TWD, about 65% lower versus a price of 44.45 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 11.39 TWD, optimistic scenario 19.12 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.3B TWD (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Formosan Union Chemical Corp pay a dividend?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 2.25% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp pays a dividend of 1.00 TWD per share a year, a dividend yield of 2.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 28, 2026. The payout ratio is 50.0% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.04 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Formosan Union Chemical Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +24.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.2 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 1709 use?
Our models discount Formosan Union Chemical Corp at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.35, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Formosan Union Chemical Corp that is +24.8 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Formosan Union Chemical Corp grew +1.2 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +24.8 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Formosan Union Chemical Corp (+24.8 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.40 %: that much free cash flow Formosan Union Chemical Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Formosan Union Chemical Corp it is 15.51 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of 44.45 TWD. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Formosan Union Chemical Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 1709 trades above its calculated fair value: price 44.45 TWD, fair value 15.51 TWD, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1709?
No. The price is what the market pays today (44.45 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (15.51 TWD). For Formosan Union Chemical Corp the two are 28.94 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Formosan Union Chemical Corp worth?
The market values Formosan Union Chemical Corp at about 21.2B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is 44.45 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 15.51 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1709?
Our models span a range for Formosan Union Chemical Corp: cautious scenario 11.39 TWD, base 15.51 TWD, optimistic 19.12 TWD per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price 44.45 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1709?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.2 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 15.51 TWD is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2019 to 2025), reported earnings: 13.5. Other multiples: P/B 2.4, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 14.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Balance-sheet figures for Formosan Union Chemical Corp (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 10.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 65/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1709 from its 52-week high?
Formosan Union Chemical Corp trades at 44.45 TWD, about 31% below its 52-week high of 64.30 TWD and 171% above the low of 16.40 TWD (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 15.51 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Formosan Union Chemical Corp?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Dow Inc, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Formosan Union Chemical Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price 44.45 TWD, calculated fair value 15.51 TWD (−65%), Quality Score 65/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1709 calculated?
We run Formosan Union Chemical Corp through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 15.51 TWD builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Formosan Union Chemical Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was 44.45 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 15.51 TWD, about 65% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Formosan Union Chemical Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.12 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) come from?
Earnings per share at Formosan Union Chemical Corp grew +0.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.3 %, EBIT margin −2.0 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Formosan Union Chemical Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The market capitalisation of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 21.2B TWD (≈ $646M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 2.28 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Earnings per share at Formosan Union Chemical Corp are 2.00 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The dividend yield of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 2.2% (payout 50.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The net margin of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 10.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 6.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
The operating margin of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 24.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Revenue at Formosan Union Chemical Corp is growing +22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709)?
Earnings per share at Formosan Union Chemical Corp are growing +487% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Formosan Union Chemical Corp (1709) carry?
The net debt of Formosan Union Chemical Corp is 1.1B TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 5, 2026