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Duiba Group Ltd (1753) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$145M

DG Duiba Group Ltd 1753 · HK
PriceHK$0.1310
Fair ValueHK$0.1218
Upside-7.0%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -17.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0724 – HK$0.1704 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.1209 to HK$0.1218 (+0.7%) since Aug 5, 2026. Share price −14.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

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What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.0724 to HK$0.1704) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$2.45 HK$0.1130 Fair Value HK$0.1218 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1130 – HK$2.45 · fair‑value band HK$0.0724 – HK$0.1704 · the HK$0.1310 price screens above the HK$0.1218 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Duiba Group Ltd (1753) currently trades at HK$0.1310, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1218, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Duiba Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$610M at a net margin of -17.9%. Revenue declined 41.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -8.6%. Net debt stands at HK$539M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0724 (bear case) to HK$0.1704 (bull case); at HK$0.1310, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at -7%, 1753 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$1.84 HK$2.19 HK$2.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.63 HK$2.13 HK$2.76 74
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5600 HK$0.7500 HK$1.12 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$1.81 HK$2.18 HK$2.77 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.63 HK$2.09 HK$2.76 39
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.69 HK$2.00 HK$2.32 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue HK$1.57 HK$2.08 HK$2.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.5600 HK$0.7500 HK$1.12 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$1.84 HK$2.19 HK$2.71 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$1.63 HK$2.13 HK$2.76 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$2.13) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.7500). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$610M
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.9%
Net margin -17.9%
Return on equity -8.6%
Free cash flow HK$213M FY2025
Operating margin -19.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -48.8%
Net debt HK$539M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Duiba Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a user management software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform business in Mainland China.

Full company description

Duiba Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a user management software-as-a-service (SaaS) platform business in Mainland China. The company's SaaS platform offers user management tools, including reward point/membership management, gamification user management, e-commerce live streaming for bank credit cards, enterprise marketing tool, and financial industry live streaming to enhance mobile app user activity and participation on apps. It is also involved in the internet advertising business and provision of insurance services, promotion services, and instant discount vouchers. Duiba Group Limited was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Duiba Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$610M in FY2025 versus HK$1.3B in FY2021, a compound −17.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$109M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$610M
Latest YoY
−32.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.7%
Revenue −17.4%/yr
FY21 HK$1.3B
FY22 HK$1.6B
FY23 HK$1.1B
FY24 HK$907M
FY25 HK$610M
Net income
FY21 −HK$11.8M
FY22 −HK$45.9M
FY23 HK$30.5M
FY24 −HK$39.5M
FY25 −HK$109M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Duiba Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1753

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 200 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -42% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.24× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 22 · sector 24
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 5
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $303.76 $252.45 -17%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €99.98 €146.36 +46%
Omnicom Group OMC $85.51 $99.84 +17%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.29 ¥5.71 +8%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.49 $29.07 +115%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 -13%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 -85%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.04 HK$6.43 -42%
Affle 3i Limited AFFLE ₹1,643 ₹611.48 -63%
Guangdong Advertising Group 002400 ¥7.33 ¥1.14 -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Duiba Group Ltd (1753) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1218 versus a price of HK$0.1310, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 1753?
Our model-based fair value for Duiba Group Ltd is HK$0.1218 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.1310.
What is the quality score of 1753?
Duiba Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Duiba Group Ltd (1753)?
Duiba Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$610M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1753?
The net profit margin of Duiba Group Ltd is about -17.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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