Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd (1787) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd HK$27.63, price HK$19.07, upside +44.9%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd
1787 · HKUndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$10.67 – HK$51.03 · fair‑value band HK$19.34 – HK$35.92 · the HK$19.07 price screens below the HK$27.63 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. engages in mining, smelting, processing, and precious metals in the People's Republic of China. It explores for silver, copper, iron, lead, and zinc metals.
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Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. engages in mining, smelting, processing, and precious metals in the People's Republic of China. It explores for silver, copper, iron, lead, and zinc metals. The company is also involved in manufacturing special equipment for gold mines; gold and non-ferrous metal mining and smelting; and building decoration materials, as well as invests in gold bars. In addition, it offers ecological restoration and environmental protection, investment and asset management, construction engineering, futures brokerage, and consulting and investigation services. Shandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Jinan, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd (1787) currently trades at HK$19.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$27.63, implying the stock looks roughly 31.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$51.11 per share, and 17 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$19.07 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$6.97, and 8 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$19.34 (bear) to HK$35.92 (bull), the price of HK$19.07 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd reported revenue of 104B CNY in FY2025 versus 33.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +32.4%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$96.1B (≈ $12.3B) · P/E ratio 14.9 · P/S ratio 0.68 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.6887 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 12.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 45%, 1787 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 25 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Compare Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 200 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEM | $115.34 | $126.87 | +10% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥30.01 | ¥44.45 | +48% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | $185.83 | $219.71 | +18% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | $135.39 | $87.78 | −35% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | $245.81 | $270.39 | +10% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $99.03 | $88.60 | −11% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $24.06 | $51.30 | +113% |
| Royal Gold, Inc RGLD | $238.93 | $262.82 | +10% |
| Pan American Silver Corp PAAS | $46.14 | $59.13 | +28% |
| Coeur Mining, Inc CDE | $17.56 | $19.32 | +10% |
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Key figures of Shandong Gold Mining Co Ltd
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