TIL Enviro Ltd (1790) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of TIL Enviro Ltd HK$0.77, price HK$0.52, upside +48.1%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.3700 – HK$0.7900 · fair‑value band HK$0.6400 – HK$0.8800 · the HK$0.5200 price screens below the HK$0.7700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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TIL Enviro Limited provides wastewater treatment in the People's Republic of China. The company provides consultancy services, as well as supplies recycled water. It also operates and manages wastewater treatment facilities on a transfer-operate-transfer basis.
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TIL Enviro Limited provides wastewater treatment in the People's Republic of China. The company provides consultancy services, as well as supplies recycled water. It also operates and manages wastewater treatment facilities on a transfer-operate-transfer basis. In addition, the company engages in upgrading and expansion of its wastewater treatment facilities. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. TIL Enviro Limited is a subsidiary of Sparkle Century Group Limited.
Stock analysis
TIL Enviro Ltd (1790) currently trades at HK$0.5200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7700, implying the stock looks roughly 32.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$1.00 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the HK$0.5200 price.
Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at HK$0.2600, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.6400 (bear) to HK$0.8800 (bull), the price of HK$0.5200 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
TIL Enviro Ltd reported revenue of HK$230M in FY2025 versus HK$249M in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$50.2M in FY2025, compounding −18.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$520M (≈ $66.3M) · P/E ratio 10.4 · P/S ratio 2.27 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500 · Net margin 21.8% · Return on equity 3.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.1% · Operating margin 3.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 48%, 1790 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.6400Fair Value HK$0.7700Bull HK$0.8800
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0375 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.3% vs 0.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.65% → 66%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.1%/yr over ~8Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Waste Management · 164 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Above median
Fair Value upside+48.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.5% · Below median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)21.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)3.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.29× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
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Is TIL Enviro Ltd (1790) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.7700 versus a price of HK$0.5200, about +48% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1790?
Our model-based fair value for TIL Enviro Ltd is HK$0.7700 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.5200.
What is the quality score of 1790?
TIL Enviro Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.7700 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6400, optimistic scenario HK$0.8800. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TIL Enviro Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.7700, about +48% upside versus a price of HK$0.5200 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6400, optimistic scenario HK$0.8800. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
TIL Enviro Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$230M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TIL Enviro Ltd it is HK$0.7700 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.5200. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TIL Enviro Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 1790 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.5200, fair value HK$0.7700, a gap of about +48% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1790?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.5200); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.7700). For TIL Enviro Ltd the two are HK$0.2500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TIL Enviro Ltd worth?
The market values TIL Enviro Ltd at about HK$520M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.5200; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.7700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1790?
Our models span a range for TIL Enviro Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6400, base HK$0.7700, optimistic HK$0.8800 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.5200). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 1790?
TIL Enviro Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.7700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 2.3, EV/EBITDA 11.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
Balance-sheet figures for TIL Enviro Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.5%, debt of 0.29 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1790 from its 52-week high?
TIL Enviro Ltd trades at HK$0.5200, about 9% below its 52-week high of HK$0.5700 and 41% above the low of HK$0.3700 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.7700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TIL Enviro Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Waste Management, Inc, Republic Services, Inc, Waste Connections, Inc, Veolia Environnement SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TIL Enviro Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.5200, calculated fair value HK$0.7700 (+48%), Quality Score 51/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1790 calculated?
We run TIL Enviro Ltd through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.7700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. TIL Enviro Ltd currently trades 32 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.5200. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.7700, about +48% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TIL Enviro Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.6400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790) come from?
Earnings per share at TIL Enviro Ltd grew +3.8 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.8 %, EBIT margin +3.2 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of TIL Enviro Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
The market capitalisation of TIL Enviro Ltd is HK$520M (≈ $66.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TIL Enviro Ltd is 2.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
Earnings per share at TIL Enviro Ltd are HK$0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
The net margin of TIL Enviro Ltd is 21.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TIL Enviro Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TIL Enviro Ltd is 6.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
The operating margin of TIL Enviro Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
Revenue at TIL Enviro Ltd is growing +5.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TIL Enviro Ltd (1790)?
Earnings per share at TIL Enviro Ltd are growing +1.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does TIL Enviro Ltd (1790) generate?
The free cash flow of TIL Enviro Ltd is −HK$14.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does TIL Enviro Ltd (1790) carry?
The net debt of TIL Enviro Ltd is HK$525M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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