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SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd HK$0.26, price HK$1.40, upside -81.4%, quality 34 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN KYG8629S1057

SL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd

1832 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.2600 · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
!Quality 34/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -36.8% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.42 HK$0.4300 Fair Value HK$0.2600 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4300 – HK$1.42 · fair‑value band HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3900 · the HK$1.40 price screens above the HK$0.2600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

S.A.I. Leisure Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leisure tourism business in Guam, Saipan, and Hawaii. It operates through three segments: Hotels and Resorts, Luxury Travel Retail, and Destination Services.

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S.A.I. Leisure Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leisure tourism business in Guam, Saipan, and Hawaii. It operates through three segments: Hotels and Resorts, Luxury Travel Retail, and Destination Services. The Hotels and Resorts segment is involved in the operation of hotels and leasing of commercial premises located in Saipan and Guam. The Luxury Travel Retail segment offers luxury and leisure clothing, and accessories in retail stores. The Destination Services segment provides destination activities, and land arrangements and concierge services. This segment also engages in the operation of souvenir and convenience stores; and excursion tour operations. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. S.A.I. Leisure Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of THC Leisure Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) currently trades at HK$1.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2600, implying the stock looks roughly 438.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1900 (bear) to HK$0.3900 (bull), the price of HK$1.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd reported revenue of $45.2M in FY2025 versus $19.8M in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$504M (≈ $64.3M) · P/S ratio 8.30 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin −36.7% · Return on equity −65.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.9% · Operating margin −24.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$45.1M.

What moves the price

The share trades near its 52-week high and 222% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −81%, 1832 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1900 Fair Value HK$0.2600 Bull HK$0.3900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1733 HK$0.2600 HK$0.4333 52
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1733 HK$0.2600 HK$0.4333 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 87

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 96
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29.9% (2020) → −28.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1832 screens 439% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 168 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −37% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −24% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.60× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.42× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)54 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $348.06 $150.61 −57%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $308.44 $268.06 −13%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $154.85 $97.57 −37%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $157.80 $49.88 −68%
H World Group HTHT $43.33 $63.57 +47%
Accor SA AC €46.64 €40.27 −14%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹736.25 ₹520.82 −29%
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $67.86 $29.84 −56%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 140,100 KRW 33,487 KRW −76%
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $100.32 $73.41 −27%

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SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.2600 −439%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1832

Frequently asked questions

Is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2600 versus a price of HK$1.40, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1832?
Our model-based fair value for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is HK$0.2600 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.40.
What is the quality score of 1832?
SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2600 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1900, optimistic scenario HK$0.3900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2600, about −81% upside versus a price of HK$1.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1900, optimistic scenario HK$0.3900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$45.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.2600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.40. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 1832 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.40, fair value HK$0.2600, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1832?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2600). For SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd the two are HK$1.14 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd at about HK$504M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.40; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1832?
Our models span a range for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1900, base HK$0.2600, optimistic HK$0.3900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Balance-sheet figures for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −65.9%, debt of 2.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 34/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1832 from its 52-week high?
SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd trades at HK$1.40, about 25% below its 52-week high of HK$1.12 and 222% above the low of HK$0.4350 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.40, calculated fair value HK$0.2600 (−81%), Quality Score 34/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1832 calculated?
We run SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$1.40. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2600, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1900 to HK$0.3900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The market capitalisation of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is HK$504M (≈ $64.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is 8.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Earnings per share at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The net margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −36.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −65.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The operating margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −24.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Revenue at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is growing +10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Earnings per share at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd are growing −92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) generate?
The free cash flow of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −HK$5.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) carry?
The net debt of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is HK$96.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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