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SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock HK$0.26, price HK$0.97, that is 73.1% below the price, quality 31 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical HK · ISIN KYG8629S1057

SL SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 3, 2026

SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd

1832 · HK
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 73% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +2.1 %/yr in USD)
Fair value HK$0.2600 · Strongly overvalued (−73.1%)
Quality 31/100
Loss-making · -32.0% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 8/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.52 HK$0.4300 Fair Value HK$0.2600 Jun 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.4300 – HK$1.52 · fair‑value band HK$0.1900 – HK$0.3900 · the HK$0.9650 price screens above the HK$0.2600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.

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Company profile

S.A.I. Leisure Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the leisure tourism business in Guam, Saipan, and Hawaii. It operates through three segments: Hotels and Resorts, Luxury Travel Retail, and Destination Services.

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The Hotels and Resorts segment is involved in the operation of hotels and leasing of commercial premises located in Saipan and Guam. The Luxury Travel Retail segment offers luxury and leisure clothing, and accessories in retail stores.

The Destination Services segment provides destination activities, and land arrangements and concierge services. This segment also engages in the operation of souvenir and convenience stores; and excursion tour operations. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong.

S.A.I. Leisure Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of THC Leisure Holdings Limited.

Stock analysis

SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) currently trades at HK$0.9650, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2600, 73% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1900 (bear) to HK$0.3900 (bull), the price of HK$0.9650 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd reported revenue of $45.2M in FY2025 versus $19.8M in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$347M (≈ $44.3M) Micro · P/S ratio 7.30 · Net margin −36.7% · Return on equity −64.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin −24.3% · Revenue (TTM) $47.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 8 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −73%, 1832 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1900 Fair Value HK$0.2600 Bull HK$0.3900
Price HK$0.9650 · Downside -73.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1900 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3900 53
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1900 HK$0.2600 HK$0.3900 53

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 7
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 0
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 4
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 58
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 62
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 73
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 82
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+42.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −5.0% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−29.9% (2020) → −28.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

1832 screens overvalued: fair value 73% below the price. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 159 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −32.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −24.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 11.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 2.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.48× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.93× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 25
FUTURE (revenue growth)58 · sector 30
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Atour Lifestyle Holdings ATAT $35.91 $58.29 +62% vs 1832
H World Group 1179 HK$39.58 HK$50.55 +28% vs 1832
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 15.40 SAR 17.95 SAR +17% vs 1832
Accor SA AC €50.00 €41.40 −17% vs 1832
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $370.45 $271.08 −27% vs 1832
Choice Hotels International, Inc CHH $118.91 $75.26 −37% vs 1832
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹888.00 ₹502.32 −43% vs 1832
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $184.32 $86.67 −53% vs 1832
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc WH $77.35 $29.61 −62% vs 1832
Marriott International, Inc MAR $416.47 $151.21 −64% vs 1832

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SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1832

Frequently asked questions

Is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2600 versus a price of HK$0.9650, about 73% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1832?
Our model-based fair value for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is HK$0.2600 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.9650.
What is the quality score of 1832?
SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2600 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1900, optimistic scenario HK$0.3900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2600, about 73% lower versus a price of HK$0.9650 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1900, optimistic scenario HK$0.3900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $47.6M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd it is HK$0.2600 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of HK$0.9650. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 1832 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.9650, fair value HK$0.2600, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 1832?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.9650); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2600). For SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.7050 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd at about HK$347M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.9650; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2600 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 1832?
Our models span a range for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1900, base HK$0.2600, optimistic HK$0.3900 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price HK$0.9650). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Balance-sheet figures for SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −64.6%, debt of 2.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 1832 from its 52-week high?
SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd trades at HK$0.9650, about 37% below its 52-week high of HK$1.52 and 97% above the low of HK$0.4900 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2600 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, H World Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price HK$0.9650, calculated fair value HK$0.2600 (−73%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 1832 calculated?
We run SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$0.2600 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was HK$0.9650. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2600, about 73% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1900 to HK$0.3900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The market capitalisation of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is HK$347M (≈ $44.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is 7.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The net margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −36.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −64.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
The operating margin of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −24.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Revenue at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is growing +11.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +42.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832)?
Earnings per share at SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd are growing −92.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) generate?
The free cash flow of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is −$5.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd (1832) carry?
The net debt of SAI Leisure Group Co Ltd is $96.2M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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